Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.870.27
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
62
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
164
Passes
82% (442/536)62% (161/261)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.870.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.720.85
Total shots
204
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
92
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
123
Shots outside the box
81
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
164
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1010
Passes
82% (442/536)62% (161/261)
Long passes
55% (30/55)20% (10/49)
Passes in final third
72% (124/172)45% (42/94)
Crosses
33% (16/48)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.53
Throw ins
2525
Fouls
1010
Tackles
75% (12/16)60% (15/25)
Duels won
6259
Clearances
3155
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.852.72
Goals prevented
-0.151.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Prass A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
  • 61', Asllani F. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
  • 64', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
  • 64', Lindstrom J. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
  • 69', Vini Souza 🟨,
  • 79', Avdullahu L. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
  • 80', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Promel G. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
  • 85', Eriksen C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Eriksen C. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
  • 90+8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
67.5%		Draw
18.8%		Wolfsburg
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 20.1% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 19.8% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
    •

    Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42 ↓
    (1.52)    		 5.11 ↑
    (4.73)    		 6.87 ↑
    (5.43)    		 4.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.5% – 89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.61) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Wolfsburg (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Muller M. (Red Card) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Injury) Zehnter A. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3
    09.05.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2
    11.01.2025 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 0:1
    04.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 3:0
    04.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    07.03.2026 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Köln - Hoffenheim 2:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 3:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 5:1 ✺
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    07.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV 1:2 ✺
    01.03.2026 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 2:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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