Result
2:2
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | SporTV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | New World TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2 |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (376/467) | 77% (303/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (376/467) | 77% (303/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (100/135) | 64% (75/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Ostigard L. (Own goal),
- 34', 1 - 1, Kaderabek P. ⚽, Bulter M. (A),
- 43', Stach A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vranckx A. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
- 46', Kaminski J. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
- 61', Fischer K. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 71', Toure B. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
- 72', Wimmer P. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
- 80', Kramaric A. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Wind J. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
- 84', 2 - 2, Bulter M. ⚽, Hlozek A. (A),
- 88', Bischof T. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
- 89', Amoura M. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
- 90+3', Kramaric A. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg
36.4% | Draw
26.1% | Hoffenheim
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsburg's form might have worsened.Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(1.99) |
3.7 ↓
(3.92) |
2.59 ↓
(3.58) |
3.6%
(3.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 27.9% – 64.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
- Wolfsburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hoffenheim's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M.
(Muscle Injury)
Arnold M.
(Red Card)
Bornauw S.
(Foot Injury)
Broger B.
(Injury)
Muller M.
(Illness)
Paredes K.
(Muscle Injury)
Rogerio
(Knee Injury)
Svanberg M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Broken collarbone)
Kabak O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenz C.
(Calf Injury)
Moerstedt M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Promel G.
(Knee Injury)
Samassekou D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Geiger D.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Hoffenheim?
Wolfsburg has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Wolfsburg?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
11.01.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Wolfsburg
0:1
04.12.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
3:0
04.02.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:2
02.09.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Wolfsburg
3:1
13.05.2023
Wolfsburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
Latest results of Wolfsburg
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
