Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim
Result
2:2
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
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chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
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malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
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pakistanPakistanTapmad
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polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
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sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
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switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.47
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (376/467)77% (303/392)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.85
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2734
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
81% (376/467)77% (303/392)
Long passes
45% (29/64)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
74% (100/135)64% (75/117)
Crosses
32% (6/19)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.81
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1110
Tackles
94% (15/16)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
3628
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.851.52
Goals prevented
-1.150.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Ostigard L. (Own goal),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kaderabek P. ⚽, Bulter M. (A),
  • 43', Stach A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vranckx A. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
  • 46', Kaminski J. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
  • 61', Fischer K. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
  • 71', Toure B. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
  • 72', Wimmer P. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
  • 80', Kramaric A. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Wind J. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
  • 84', 2 - 2, Bulter M. ⚽, Hlozek A. (A),
  • 88', Bischof T. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
  • 89', Amoura M. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
  • 90+3', Kramaric A. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
36.4%		Draw
26.1%		Hoffenheim
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 24.6% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsburg's form might have worsened.
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.63 ↑
    (1.99)    		 3.7 ↓
    (3.92)    		 2.59 ↓
    (3.58)    		 3.6%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 27.9% – 64.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
    • Wolfsburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hoffenheim's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Arnold M. (Red Card) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Broger B. (Injury) Muller M. (Illness) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Broken collarbone) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Geiger D. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 0:1
    04.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 3:0
    04.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2
    02.09.2023 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 3:1
    13.05.2023 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    03.05.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim 4:4 ✺
    26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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