Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Saitama Seibu Lions - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Result
5:8
26/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
715
Errors
00
Home Runs
21
Runs batted in
58
Base on Balls
22
Strikeouts
49
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3340
Batting Average
0.2120.375

Chances of winning


Saitama Seibu Lions
37.5%
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saitama Seibu Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saitama Seibu Lions than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Saitama Seibu Lions - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.46)

    1.55
    (1.58)
    4.4%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Saitama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Saitama has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of home games.
    • Hokkaido will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:75. (average 3:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saitama won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 2.4:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saitama Seibu Lions - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters were as follows:
    25.09.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 5:4
    15.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Saitama Seibu Lions 12:5
    14.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Saitama Seibu Lions 4:3
    13.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Saitama Seibu Lions 5:4
    12.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Saitama Seibu Lions 3:7
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)