Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez
Result
2:1
16/04/2025 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
66%75%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (33/53)58% (32/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)39% (7/18)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)45% (5/11)
1st Return Points Won
42% (23/55)38% (20/53)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (11/18)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)30% (3/10)
Winners
2221
Unforced Errors
3635
Net Points Won
71% (12/17)42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
59% (47/80)53% (39/73)
Return Points Won
47% (34/73)41% (33/80)
Total Points Won
53% (81/153)47% (72/153)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)50% (6/12)
Return Games Won
50% (6/12)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
64% (16/25)36% (9/25)

Chances of winning


Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
56.5%
Sebastian Baez
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.6)

    2.18
    (2.35)
    5.3%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 53.9%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Baez (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rune is ranked ATP: 13. Baez is ranked ATP: 35.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rune won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
    13.05.2024 Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 2:1
    26.10.2023 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez 2:0
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2