Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4P
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.101.43
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Passes
84% (398/476)82% (294/357)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.101.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.35
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1313
Passes
84% (398/476)82% (294/357)
Long passes
56% (34/61)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
60% (86/144)59% (35/59)
Crosses
32% (9/28)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.81
Throw ins
1917
Fouls
1313
Tackles
65% (13/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5037
Clearances
1532
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.350.66
Goals prevented
-0.65-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Tolkin J. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 10', Meffert J. 🟨,
  • 16', Rasmussen C. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 24', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
  • 26', Muslija F. 🟨,
  • 44', Skrzybski S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Harres P. , Kapralik A. (A),
  • 60', Skrzybski S. , Therkelsen J. ,
  • 61', Raimund L. , Lunddal V. ,
  • 65', Daland J. , Heyer M. ,
  • 65', Muslija F. , Paulina J. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Itten C. , Tanaka S. (A),
  • 79', 1 - 2, Nekic I. , Tohumcu U. (A),
  • 90+1', Kapralik A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Heyer M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ugoh I. , Roslyng F. ,
  • 90+2', Tohumcu U. , Niehoff N. ,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
45.8%
Draw
25.7%
Holstein Kiel
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 26.1% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 24.3% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Düsseldorf that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.13)
    3.67
    (3.55)
    3.32
    (3.06)
    5.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fortuna could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Shoulder Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schmidt K. (Knee Injury) Suso S. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Davidsen K. (Yellow Cards) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Komenda M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Zimmermann M. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0
    11.05.2024 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1
    10.12.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel 0:1
    06.05.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel 3:0
    29.10.2022 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke29177541:251658
    2Paderborn29176651:341757
    3Hannover29158649:351453
    4Elversberg29157749:321752
    5Darmstadt291311550:341650
    6Hertha Berlin29138843:34947
    7Kaiserslautern291441149:41846
    8Karlsruher SC291171147:53-640
    9Nurnberg291071238:40-237
    10Bochum29991143:41236
    11SG Dynamo Dresden29881347:47032
    12Holstein Kiel29881336:43-732
    13Arminia Bielefeld29871442:44-231
    14Dusseldorf29941627:45-1831
    15Magdeburg29931746:55-930
    16Braunschweig29861531:49-1830
    17Greuther Furth29861540:61-2130
    18Preussen Munster296101331:47-1628

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga