Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.08
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
75% (258/343)83% (343/415)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.67
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
169
Passes
75% (258/343)83% (343/415)
Long passes
32% (15/47)54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
56% (42/75)68% (99/145)
Crosses
11% (1/9)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.76
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
916
Tackles
63% (12/19)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5763
Clearances
4126
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.670.65
Goals prevented
0.67-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Daland J. 🟨,
  • 33', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Davidsen K. ,
  • 62', El Azzouzi A. , Appelkamp S. ,
  • 62', Zimmermann M. , Heyer M. ,
  • 68', Therkelsen J. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 73', Schmidt K. , Suso S. ,
  • 74', Rasmussen C. , Raimund L. ,
  • 77', Komenda M. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 77', Kapralik A. , Harres P. ,
  • 82', Breithaupt T. , Egouli E. ,
  • 84', Schwab S. , Wagner R. ,
  • 84', Rosenboom L. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 90+3', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Krumrey J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
52.2%
Draw
24.4%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 23.8% 24.2%

Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(1.85)
3.86
(3.89)
4
(3.82)
5.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Holstein Kiel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2.
    • Holstein Kiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fortuna is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fortuna has had a series of home games.
    • Holstein Kiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Davidsen K. (Illness) Rosenboom L. (Injury) Skrzybski S. (Heel Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Itten C. (Knock) Rasmussen C. (Illness)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1
    10.12.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel 0:1
    06.05.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel 3:0
    29.10.2022 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

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