Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, ESPN |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4P |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/476) | 82% (294/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/476) | 82% (294/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (34/61) | 33% (14/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (86/144) | 59% (35/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Tolkin J. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
- 10', Meffert J. 🟨,
- 16', Rasmussen C. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
- 24', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
- 26', Muslija F. 🟨,
- 44', Skrzybski S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Kapralik A. (A),
- 60', Skrzybski S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
- 61', Raimund L. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
- 65', Daland J. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
- 65', Muslija F. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Tanaka S. (A),
- 79', 1 - 2, Nekic I. ⚽, Tohumcu U. (A),
- 90+1', Kapralik A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Heyer M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ugoh I. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
- 90+2', Tohumcu U. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Düsseldorf 45.8% | Draw 25.7% | Holstein Kiel 28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Düsseldorf that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↓ (2.13) |
3.67 ↑ (3.55) |
3.32 ↑ (3.06) |
5.9% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Fortuna could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lenz C.
(Calf Injury)
Rossmann T.
(Illness)
Schmidt K.
(Knee Injury)
Suso S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A.
(Injury)
Davidsen K.
(Yellow Cards)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
Kelati A.
(Muscle Injury)
Komenda M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna: Zimmermann M.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Holstein Kiel?
Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
09.11.2025
Holstein Kiel
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1:0
11.05.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1:1
10.12.2023
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
Holstein Kiel
0:1
06.05.2023
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
Holstein Kiel
3:0
29.10.2022
Holstein Kiel
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1:2
Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 41:25 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 51:34 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | Hannover | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 50:34 | 16 | 50 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 47:53 | -6 | 40 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Bochum | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:41 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 27:45 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 46:55 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 40:61 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga