Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Fürth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 20
  • Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Sport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.880.98
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
32
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
62
Passes
85% (462/546)71% (179/251)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.880.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.04
Total shots
135
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
50
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3519
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1713
Passes
85% (462/546)71% (179/251)
Long passes
48% (25/52)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
65% (98/151)57% (36/63)
Crosses
27% (7/26)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.16
Throw ins
2721
Fouls
1317
Tackles
74% (14/19)61% (14/23)
Duels won
6460
Clearances
1752
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
1.040.75
Goals prevented
-0.96-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Ivezic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Keller A. , Hrgota B. (A),
  • 59', Niehoff N. , Kapralik A. ,
  • 59', Therkelsen J. , Jakupovic A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Meffert J. , Rosenboom L. (A),
  • 66', Hrgota B. , Dardari A. ,
  • 75', Arifi D. , Marita R. ,
  • 75', Srbeny D. , Avlayici M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Futkeu N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 78', Skrzybski S. , Kelati A. ,
  • 83', Rosenboom L. , Muller M. ,
  • 83', Bjarnason B. , Elvedi J. ,
  • 84', Futkeu N. , Higl F. ,
  • 90+2', Keller A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Kelati A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
56.7%
Draw
24%
Greuther Fürth
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 24.1% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.7% 19.6%

Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.67
(1.69)
3.93
(3.87)
4.77
(4.49)
6.3%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Fürth (3.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DC - Fürth (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Holstein Kiel will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fürth (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.
    • Holstein Kiel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fürth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Holstein Kiel is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Consbruch J. (Inactive) Dietz M. (Red Card) Green J. (Inactive) Itter G. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Holstein Kiel will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    28.01.2024 Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel 2:1
    05.08.2023 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 2:1
    28.01.2023 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 2:1
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke20123524:141039
    2Elversberg20115437:201738
    3Darmstadt20108236:221438
    4Paderborn20113631:23836
    5Hannover20105535:27835
    6Kaiserslautern2094735:27831
    7Hertha Berlin2087525:20531
    8Bochum2075829:26326
    9Nurnberg2075823:28-526
    10Karlsruher SC2075829:36-726
    11Holstein Kiel2066825:26-124
    12Braunschweig20731021:32-1124
    13Dusseldorf20721119:30-1123
    14Arminia Bielefeld2056930:28221
    15Preussen Munster2056924:31-721
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20551029:36-720
    17Magdeburg20621226:33-720
    18Greuther Furth20541128:47-1919

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