Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.72
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (387/462)85% (381/448)
Yellow Cards
73
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.91
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
84% (387/462)85% (381/448)
Long passes
57% (37/65)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
70% (92/131)76% (68/90)
Crosses
31% (4/13)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.47
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1514
Tackles
72% (13/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5549
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.910.07
Goals prevented
-0.090.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Zehnter A. 🟨,
  • 18', Komenda M. 🟨,
  • 24', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 29', Seelt J. 🟨,
  • 36', Seelt J. 🟨,
  • 41', Vini Souza 🟨,
  • 41', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Bernhardsson A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Skov Olsen A. , Daghim A. ,
  • 46', Pejcinovic D. , Wimmer P. ,
  • 62', Johansson C. 🟨,
  • 63', Rosenboom L. , Nekic I. ,
  • 63', Kapralik A. , Harres P. ,
  • 73', Zehnter A. , Maehle J. ,
  • 78', Bernhardsson A. , Koster L. ,
  • 78', Schwab S. , Wagner R. ,
  • 85', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 89', Vini Souza , Dardai B. ,
  • 89', Knudsen M. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 90+5', Wimmer P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
54.8%
Draw
24%
Holstein Kiel
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.9% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 22.5% 14.1%

Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.47)
3.87
(4.5)
4.45
(6.2)
6.1%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Wolfsburg is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 2:2
    31.08.2024 Holstein Kiel - Wolfsburg 0:2
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    18.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 0:3
    04.10.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 3:1
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    25.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 1:1
    19.10.2025 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1
    27.09.2025 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 1:0
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    2Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    3RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    4WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    5CottbusHannover1 : 0
    6SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    7IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    8SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    9Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    10UlmElversberg0 : 1
    11LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    12RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    13SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    14LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    15LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    16Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    26RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    27Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    28GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    29DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    30MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    2FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    3CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    4IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    5Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    6Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    7DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    8DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    14PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    15B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    16St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    2RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    3Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    4FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    8B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayern MunichRB Leipzig
    2Hertha BerlinFreiburg
    3Holstein KielStuttgart
    4Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli