Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel
Result
0:1
28/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.72
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (387/462)85% (381/448)
Yellow Cards
73
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.91
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
84% (387/462)85% (381/448)
Long passes
57% (37/65)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
70% (92/131)76% (68/90)
Crosses
31% (4/13)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.47
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1514
Tackles
72% (13/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5549
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.910.07
Goals prevented
-0.090.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Zehnter A. 🟨,
  • 18', Komenda M. 🟨,
  • 24', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 29', Seelt J. 🟨,
  • 36', Seelt J. 🟨,
  • 41', Vini Souza 🟨,
  • 41', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Bernhardsson A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Skov Olsen A. , Daghim A. ,
  • 46', Pejcinovic D. , Wimmer P. ,
  • 62', Johansson C. 🟨,
  • 63', Rosenboom L. , Nekic I. ,
  • 63', Kapralik A. , Harres P. ,
  • 73', Zehnter A. , Maehle J. ,
  • 78', Bernhardsson A. , Koster L. ,
  • 78', Schwab S. , Wagner R. ,
  • 85', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 89', Vini Souza , Dardai B. ,
  • 89', Knudsen M. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 90+5', Wimmer P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
54.8%
Draw
24%
Holstein Kiel
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.9% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 22.5% 14.1%

Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.47)
3.87
(4.5)
4.45
(6.2)
6.1%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Wolfsburg is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 2:2
    31.08.2024 Holstein Kiel - Wolfsburg 0:2
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    18.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 0:3
    04.10.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 3:1
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    25.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 1:1
    19.10.2025 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1
    27.09.2025 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 1:0
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    6PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    7HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    8FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    14BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    15SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    16BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    17Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    18UlmElversberg0 : 1
    19LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    20RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    24Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    25DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    26MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    27NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    28Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    29CottbusHannover1 : 0
    30SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    31IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    32SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    4WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    8MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    9Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    10Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    11DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    12DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    13B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    14St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    15CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    16IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen
    2Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich
    4BochumStuttgart
    5Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern
    6FreiburgDarmstadt
    7B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli
    8RB LeipzigMagdeburg