Dover Athletic vs Hornchurch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Sheriff D. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Morias J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Sodje H. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 3 - 1, Nikaj G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', 4 - 1, Soares Jr. R. ,

Chances of winning


Dover Athletic
26.7%
Draw
25.5%
Hornchurch
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 25.1% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 24.1% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Dover Athletic - Hornchurch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.78)
    3.59
    (3.7)
    1.92
    (1.84)
    9.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Dover Athletic - Hornchurch?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dover will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Dover has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hornchurch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hornchurch could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dover Athletic - Hornchurch were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Dover Athletic - Hornchurch 1:4
    27.09.2025 Hornchurch - Dover Athletic 0:0
    Latest results of Dover Athletic
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Worthing442491196:504681
    2Dorking442391276:571978
    3Torquay442381384:592577
    4Hornchurch4322101175:601576
    5Hemel Hempstead442291352:46675
    6Ebbsfleet4421111269:521774
    7Maidenhead4421101365:412473
    8Weston-super-Mare432271459:471273
    9Maidstone4420111367:472071
    10Chesham442181566:511571
    11Chelmsford432091467:561169
    12Dag & Red4417121559:59063
    13AFC Totton431861954:70-1660
    14Tonbridge4415121759:62-357
    15Horsham FC4314141549:49056
    16Slough441492164:80-1651
    17Hampton & Richmond4413112055:68-1350
    18Farnborough4413112065:85-2050
    19Dover4413102158:72-1449
    20Salisbury4413102147:63-1649
    21Chippenham ✔ 441192450:74-2442
    22Bath439132144:71-2740
    23Enfield Town ✔ 448132350:79-2937
    24Eastbourne Boro ✔ 44892754:86-3233

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chippenham is Relegated to
    Enfield Town is Relegated to
    Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to