Result
4:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 35
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Sheriff D. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Morias J. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 1, Sodje H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 3 - 1, Nikaj G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', 4 - 1, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dover Athletic 26.7% | Draw 25.5% | Hornchurch 47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Dover Athletic - Hornchurch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.43 ↓ (3.78) |
3.59 ↓ (3.7) |
1.92 ↑ (1.84) |
9.2% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dover Athletic - Hornchurch?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Dover will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Dover has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hornchurch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hornchurch could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dover Athletic won against Hornchurch?
Dover Athletic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Dover Athletic?
Hornchurch has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dover Athletic - Hornchurch were as follows:
13.12.2025
Dover Athletic
-
Hornchurch
1:4
27.09.2025
Hornchurch
-
Dover Athletic
0:0
Latest results of Dover Athletic
Latest results of Hornchurch
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dorking | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 70:47 | 23 | 74 |
| 2 | Worthing | 39 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 81:43 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Hemel Hempstead | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 5 | 67 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 63:52 | 11 | 66 |
| 5 | Maidenhead | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 56:35 | 21 | 65 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 61:49 | 12 | 65 |
| 7 | Torquay | 39 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 52:39 | 13 | 63 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 40 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 57:42 | 15 | 61 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 56:47 | 9 | 60 |
| 11 | Chesham | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 51:41 | 10 | 59 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 51:45 | 6 | 59 |
| 13 | Tonbridge | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 53 |
| 14 | AFC Totton | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 48:62 | -14 | 53 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46:45 | 1 | 52 |
| 16 | Slough | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 59:67 | -8 | 50 |
| 17 | Dover | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 55:58 | -3 | 49 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 49:61 | -12 | 46 |
| 19 | Salisbury | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 39 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 40 |
| 21 | Chippenham | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 47:71 | -24 | 38 |
| 22 | Bath | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 33 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 43:69 | -26 | 32 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro | 40 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 49:78 | -29 | 31 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation