Result
4:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 35
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Sheriff D. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Morias J. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 1, Sodje H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 3 - 1, Nikaj G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', 4 - 1, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dover Athletic 26.7% | Draw 25.5% | Hornchurch 47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Dover Athletic - Hornchurch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.43 ↓ (3.78) |
3.59 ↓ (3.7) |
1.92 ↑ (1.84) |
9.2% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dover Athletic - Hornchurch?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Dover will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Dover has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hornchurch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hornchurch could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dover Athletic won against Hornchurch?
Dover Athletic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Dover Athletic?
Hornchurch has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dover Athletic - Hornchurch were as follows:
13.12.2025
Dover Athletic
-
Hornchurch
1:4
27.09.2025
Hornchurch
-
Dover Athletic
0:0
Latest results of Dover Athletic
Latest results of Hornchurch
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dorking | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 62:40 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | Worthing | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 76:42 | 34 | 61 |
| 4 | Torquay | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 | Ebbsfleet | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Maidenhead | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:31 | 18 | 55 |
| 7 | Maidstone | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 51:35 | 16 | 55 |
| 8 | Hemel Hempstead | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 55 |
| 9 | Weston-super-Mare | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 10 | Chesham | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Horsham FC | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Dag & Red | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 45:41 | 4 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Totton | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 43:55 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Slough | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:55 | -3 | 46 |
| 16 | Dover | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 49:53 | -4 | 43 |
| 17 | Tonbridge | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
| 18 | Salisbury | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 39 |
| 19 | Hampton & Richmond | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42:57 | -15 | 37 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 46:70 | -24 | 34 |
| 21 | Bath | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 32 |
| 22 | Eastbourne Boro | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 46:67 | -21 | 31 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 41:62 | -21 | 31 |
| 24 | Chippenham | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 37:65 | -28 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation