Result
2:3
31/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 15
- Referee: Uslu A. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (425/537) | 70% (241/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (425/537) | 70% (241/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (34/82) | 23% (14/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (96/148) | 52% (51/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, Tape C. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Jensen M. (Pen),
- 45', 2 - 1, Baturina R. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Doua S. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
- 49', Kolskogen O. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,
- 54', Jensen M. 🟨,
- 61', Kirkegaard K. 🟨,
- 68', Westergren M. 🟨,
- 69', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
- 69', Baturina R. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
- 71', Westergren M. ↓, Jakobsen M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Jensen M. ⚽, Brodersen R. (A),
- 79', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 79', Larsen G. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 82', Hausner S. ↓, Bruus A. ↑,
- 90+2', Brodersen R. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Hald S. ⚽, Dorgu I. (A),
Chances of winning
Horsens
65.8% | Draw
20% | HB Køge
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for HB Køge aligns with the current prediction.
Horsens - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.45) |
4.6 ↑
(4.53) |
6.48 ↑
(6.27) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Horsens - HB Køge?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Køge will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 1.
- Horsens has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Køge is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Horsens is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against HB Køge?
Horsens has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Horsens?
HB Køge has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - HB Køge were as follows:
13.09.2025
HB Køge
-
Horsens
1:0
24.11.2024
Horsens
-
HB Køge
0:0
11.08.2024
HB Køge
-
Horsens
0:2
01.06.2024
Horsens
-
HB Køge
1:1
01.04.2024
HB Køge
-
Horsens
5:0
Latest results of Horsens
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30:26 | 4 | 33 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Horsens | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | B.93 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23:33 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Hobro | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Koge | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
