Houston Dynamo 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II
Result
2:1 penalties
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.15
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
144
Passes
86% (375/435)78% (202/260)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.29
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
144
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
86% (375/435)78% (202/260)
Long passes
59% (17/29)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
79% (122/154)48% (30/62)
Crosses
33% (9/27)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.80
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1314
Tackles
67% (10/15)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.290.78
Goals prevented
0.29-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Molinaro J. 🟨,
  • 35', Samways A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Arellano B. , Goumballe M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Romero T. , Gyamfi S. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Gyamfi S. , Correa E. (A),
  • 58', Samways A. 🟨,
  • 62', Arellano B. , Johnson A. ,
  • 64', Dimareli M. , Bruegmann L. ,
  • 64', Batioja A. , Arzu E. ,
  • 67', Barrett D. , Viveros J. ,
  • 69', Uderitz B. , Christiano L. ,
  • 69', Quintero G. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 77', Correa E. , Gitau L. ,
  • 86', Gitau L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bruegmann L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gitau L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Clarke N. , Habibullah M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Habibullah M. (Pen),
  • 1, Bruegmann L. (Pen),
  • 2, Donovan S. (Pen),
  • 2, Bolma J. (Pen),
  • 3, Ortiz J. (Pen),
  • 3, Rodriguez S. (Pen),
  • 4, Christiano L. (Pen),
  • 4, Gyamfi S. (Pen),
  • 5, Tschantret M. (Pen),
  • 5, Viveros J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo 2
49.9%
Draw
22.4%
Sporting Kansas City II
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 22.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 21% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo 2's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Kansas City II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.64)
    4.09
    (4)
    3.32
    (4.08)
    8.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 2.
    • In recent matches, Houston Dynamo 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting KC II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting KC II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Houston Dynamo 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dynamo 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1
    07.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2
    14.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 4:0
    17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 1:2
    06.08.2023 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II16852140:1436
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II18623733:3725
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga18833429:2633
    2Huntsville16732431:1929
    3Orlando City B18721826:3326
    4Crown Legacy18435627:3423
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    3Town FC15722434:2127
    4Real Monarchs16543429:2726
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Houston Dynamo 218631827:2725
    5Austin FC II17534520:2125
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II16852140:1436
    3Chattanooga18833429:2633
    4Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    5New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    6Huntsville16732431:1929
    7Orlando City B18721826:3326
    8New York City II18623733:3725
    9Crown Legacy18435627:3423
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4North Texas18821732:3529
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    6Town FC15722434:2127
    7Real Monarchs16543429:2726
    8Houston Dynamo 218631827:2725
    9Austin FC II17534520:2125
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)