Result
3:2 OT
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (3/27) | 8.33% (2/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (22/24) | 88.89% (24/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.55 | 53.45 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:30, 1 - 0, Kukkonen M. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Kiiskinen J. (A2)
- 06:27, Laakso A. (2 min),
- 15:20, 1 - 1, Hamalainen J. (G), Virtanen S. (A), Laakso A. (A2)
- 19:51, Peltomaki N. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:22, 1 - 2, Kulonummi K. (G), Sallinen T. (A), Leppanen O. (A2)
- 15:32, Wright C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 16:37, Stevens J. (2 min),
- 17:04, 2 - 2, Wright C. (G), Nikkila P. (A), Kainulainen H. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 03:13, 3 - 2, Eronen E. (G), Wright C. (A), Korhonen O. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK
44% | Draw
23.7% | Kiekko-Espoo
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
HPK - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.22) |
3.89 ↓
(4.5) |
2.94 ↑
(2.64) |
6.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for HPK - Kiekko-Espoo?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- HPK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kiekko-Espoo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 3.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 4.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kiekko-Espoo?
HPK has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against HPK?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
27.08.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:1
22.02.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:4
18.01.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
HPK
0:3
25.10.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
HPK
5:2
27.09.2024
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:2
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
