Result
2:3 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 2.73 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.06% (2/33) | 9.68% (3/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.32% (28/31) | 93.94% (31/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.75 | 56.25 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:38, 0 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:52, Kopiloff O. (2 min),
- 08:37, 1 - 1, Katavisto A. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Jurmo J. (A2)
- 13:53, 1 - 2, Skinnari A. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 18:06, Komarov L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:11, 2 - 2, Hamalainen J. (G), Quenneville P. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
- 12:59, Caron T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:54, 2 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Huttunen H. (A),
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
33.1% | Draw
24.1% | HPK
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiekko-Espoo's form might have worsened.HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-16.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kiekko-Espoo - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.06) |
3.82 ↓
(4.08) |
2.22 ↓
(2.94) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HPK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
- Recent performances by Kiekko-Espoo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HPK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 2.1:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against HPK?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kiekko-Espoo?
HPK has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - HPK were as follows:
09.01.2026
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:0
10.12.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
HPK
3:1
20.09.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
27.08.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:1
22.02.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:4
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
