Result
2:3 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 2.73 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.06% (2/33) | 9.68% (3/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.32% (28/31) | 93.94% (31/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.75 | 56.25 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:38, 0 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:52, Kopiloff O. (2 min),
- 08:37, 1 - 1, Katavisto A. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Jurmo J. (A2)
- 13:53, 1 - 2, Skinnari A. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 18:06, Komarov L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:11, 2 - 2, Hamalainen J. (G), Quenneville P. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
- 12:59, Caron T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:54, 2 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Huttunen H. (A),
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
33.1% | Draw
24.1% | HPK
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiekko-Espoo's form might have worsened.HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-16.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kiekko-Espoo - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.06) |
3.82 ↓
(4.08) |
2.22 ↓
(2.94) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HPK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
- Recent performances by Kiekko-Espoo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HPK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 2.1:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against HPK?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kiekko-Espoo?
HPK has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - HPK were as follows:
09.01.2026
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:0
10.12.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
HPK
3:1
20.09.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
27.08.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:1
22.02.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:4
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
