Result
2:3 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 2.73 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.06% (2/33) | 9.68% (3/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.32% (28/31) | 93.94% (31/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.75 | 56.25 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:38, 0 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:52, Kopiloff O. (2 min),
- 08:37, 1 - 1, Katavisto A. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Jurmo J. (A2)
- 13:53, 1 - 2, Skinnari A. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 18:06, Komarov L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:11, 2 - 2, Hamalainen J. (G), Quenneville P. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
- 12:59, Caron T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:54, 2 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Huttunen H. (A),
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
33.1% | Draw
24.1% | HPK
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiekko-Espoo's form might have worsened.HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-16.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kiekko-Espoo - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.06) |
3.82 ↓
(4.08) |
2.22 ↓
(2.94) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HPK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
- Recent performances by Kiekko-Espoo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HPK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 2.1:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against HPK?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kiekko-Espoo?
HPK has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - HPK were as follows:
09.01.2026
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:0
10.12.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
HPK
3:1
20.09.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
27.08.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:1
22.02.2025
HPK
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:4
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
