Result
0:3
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 1.93 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 0 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/38) | 11.54% (3/26) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.46% (23/26) | 100% (38/38) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (8/8) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.11 | 47.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 04:54, Caron T. (2 min),
- 07:49, 0 - 1, Kiiskinen J. (G), Kainulainen H. (A),
- 10:09, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 12:02, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 14:30, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 06:34, 0 - 2, Wright C. (G), Hakulinen A. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)
- 08:10, Heikkila J. (2 min),
- 11:22, Skinnari A. (2 min),
- 15:13, Wright C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:41, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
- 03:33, 0 - 3, Kukkonen M. (G), Kainulainen H. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)
- 09:14, Makinen I. (2 min),
- 10:24, Salomaki M. (2 min),
Chances of winning
SaiPa
50.6% | Draw
22.3% | HPK
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
SaiPa - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.75) |
4.13 ↓
(4.39) |
3.43 ↓
(3.69) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for SaiPa - HPK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4.
- SaiPa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, HPK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SaiPa is a strong favorite.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 60:45. (average 3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 3:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against HPK?
SaiPa has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against SaiPa?
HPK has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - HPK were as follows:
27.02.2026
HPK
-
SaiPa
1:5
10.10.2025
HPK
-
SaiPa
1:2
01.10.2025
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:2
14.03.2025
HPK
-
SaiPa
2:3
19.02.2025
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
