Result
2:3
14/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 3.91 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.76% (2/17) | 8.57% (3/35) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.43% (32/35) | 88.24% (15/17) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.54 | 47.46 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 06:06, Myllari A. (2 min),
- 08:36, 0 - 1, Petman M. (G), Siikonen M. (A),
- 13:00, 1 - 1, Ravinskis A. (G), Topping K. (A), Noel D. (A2)
- 17:54, Kivenmaki O. (2 min),
- 19:54, Siikonen M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:16, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
- 10:07, 2 - 1, Myllari A. (G), Vesterinen R. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
- 10:37, 2 - 2, Petman M. (G), Pysyk M. (A), Siikonen M. (A2)
- 13:21, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 16:43, Topping K. (2 min),
- 16:43, Petman M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:24, Ketola J. (2 min),
- 08:22, Korhonen O. (2 min),
- 19:06, 2 - 3, Heikkila J. (G), Petman M. (A),
Chances of winning
HPK
36.3% | Draw
23.6% | SaiPa
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPK's form might have worsened.SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SaiPa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SaiPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HPK - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.26) |
4.02 ↑
(3.95) |
2.35 ↓
(2.7) |
5.6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for HPK - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- HPK is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches HPK won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- HPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches HPK won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 49:61 (average 2.5:3.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams HPK won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:32 (average 2:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against SaiPa?
HPK has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against HPK?
SaiPa has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - SaiPa were as follows:
19.02.2025
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:5
05.12.2024
HPK
-
SaiPa
1:5
28.11.2024
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:2
09.03.2024
SaiPa
-
HPK
7:0
30.12.2023
HPK
-
SaiPa
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
