Result
1:2
10/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 3.82 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 7.41% (2/27) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92.59% (25/27) | 95% (19/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.88 | 49.12 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 07:12, Loponen M. (2 min),
- 09:14, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:20, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 12:38, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
- 16:44, 1 - 0, Boscq J. (G), Vesterinen R. (A), Korhonen O. (A2)
- 17:45, Bau S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 09:40, 1 - 1, Kivihalme T. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 10:07, 1 - 2, Bau S. (G), Kuusla E. (A),
Chances of winning
HPK
37.3% | Draw
23.9% | SaiPa
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
HPK - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.28) |
3.92 ↓
(3.94) |
2.44 ↓
(2.65) |
6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
- Recent performances by HPK have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- SaiPa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, SaiPa has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 49:59. (average 2.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against SaiPa?
HPK has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against HPK?
SaiPa has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - SaiPa were as follows:
01.10.2025
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:2
14.03.2025
HPK
-
SaiPa
2:3
19.02.2025
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:5
05.12.2024
HPK
-
SaiPa
1:5
28.11.2024
SaiPa
-
HPK
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
