Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (267/370) | 76% (346/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (267/370) | 76% (346/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (14/59) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 57% (77/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Kohut M. 🟨,
- 39', Gning A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sancl F. ↓, Planka D. ↑,
- 57', Chalus M. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 0, Mihalik O. ⚽, Pilar V. (A),
- 62', Rusnak M. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
- 66', Ludvicek D. 🟨,
- 67', Dancak S. 🟨,
- 71', Gning A. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
- 77', Mihalik O. ↓, Regza M. ↑,
- 77', Pilar V. ↓, Binar A. ↑,
- 77', Kohut M. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 88', Darida V. ↓, Neto E. ↑,
- 90+1', Vlkanova A. ↓, Hodek J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hradec Králové
40.4% | Draw
28.9% | Baník Ostrava
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hradec Králové has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.08) |
3.22 ↓
(3.33) |
3.05 ↓
(3.25) |
7.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hradec Králové will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hradec Králové: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hradec Králové (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 1.
- Hradec Králové has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Baník Ostrava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hradec Králové is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hradec Králové: Chvatal J.
(Convalescence)
Cmelik L.
(Health problems)
Kucera J.
(Injury)
Petrasek T.
(Knee Injury)
Suchomel M.
(Broken Hand)
van Buren M.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
Sinyavskiy V.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hradec Králové won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hradec Králové won against Baník Ostrava?
Hradec Králové has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Hradec Králové?
Baník Ostrava has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
04.03.2026
Hradec Králové
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
19.10.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Hradec Králové
0:1
08.12.2024
Hradec Králové
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
11.08.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Hradec Králové
1:0
09.12.2023
Hradec Králové
-
Baník Ostrava
2:3
Latest results of Hradec Králové
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
