Changchun Xidu vs Hubei Istar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.41
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
59% (102/174)74% (271/366)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.18
Total shots
169
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
157
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
59% (102/174)74% (271/366)
Long passes
30% (16/53)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
51% (36/71)49% (48/98)
Crosses
29% (4/14)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.71
Throw-ins
1934
Fouls
2014
Tackles
93% (13/14)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3548
Clearances
4120
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.180.72
Goals prevented
0.18-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Wen Jialong 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Wang Shengbo (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gao S. , Memetimin Mewlan ,
  • 46', Zhao Ran , Qin Wanzhun ,
  • 55', Yu Jingcheng , Huang W. ,
  • 56', Kadir Aysan , Erkin Ababekri ,
  • 57', Li Xin 🟨,
  • 63', Li Xin , Nurlan Nurzat ,
  • 77', Li Guihao , Sun Fei ,
  • 77', He Youzu , Memet Nuryasin ,
  • 80', Hu H. 🟨,
  • 90', Xia Z. , Zhong Minghzi ,
  • 90', Jiang L. , Min Xiankun ,
  • 90+3', Wang Shengbo , Musajan Musajan ,
  • 90+3', Memetimin Mewlan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Changchun Xidu
61.7%
Draw
24.1%
Hubei Istar
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.9% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 25.7% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Xidu's performance.
  • Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.66)
    3.8
    (3.43)
    6.45
    (5.26)
    9.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Hubei Istar (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Changchun Xidu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 1 - 50%). Hubei Istar (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Changchun Xidu is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu 1:3
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B751113:6716
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei72503:1211
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Dalian Yingbo B71517:8-18
    7Nantong Haimen71428:627
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu71426:10-47
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang75028:6215
    2Guangzhou Dandelion741210:7313
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Jiangxi Lushan72328:629
    7Shenzhen723210:11-19
    8Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    9Ganzhou Ruishi71425:6-17
    10Wenzhou Professional70433:6-34
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )