Hubei Istar vs Wenzhou Professional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/04/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.700.47
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
42
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
82
Passes
84% (417/496)79% (296/373)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.700.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.13
Total shots
169
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1411
Passes
84% (417/496)79% (296/373)
Long passes
50% (29/58)51% (37/73)
Passes in final third
74% (101/136)60% (57/95)
Crosses
43% (10/23)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.34
Throw ins
2030
Fouls
1114
Tackles
63% (10/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3629
Clearances
1636
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.131.93
Goals prevented
-0.870.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lu Y. , Lu Jiabin (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pan Jinglue , Li B. ,
  • 48', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,
  • 56', He J. , Ai Chuwei ,
  • 57', Lu Shihao , Li Jiaheng ,
  • 69', Ruan Sai , Abdugheni I. ,
  • 82', Lu Y. , Fu Hao ,
  • 82', Hua Mingcan , Zhuang Q. ,
  • 82', Wen Jialong , Huang W. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Yu G. ,

Chances of winning


Hubei Istar
34.7%
Draw
31.7%
Wenzhou Professional
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 30.9% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 29.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.66)
    2.86
    (2.97)
    2.7
    (2.66)
    10.4%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 0.
    • Hubei Istar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wenzhou is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Wenzhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Wenzhou has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar 3:1
    13.09.2025 Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional 0:1
    19.10.2024 Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional 0:3
    15.09.2024 Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar 2:1
    22.10.2023 Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar 1:0
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B751113:6716
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei72503:1211
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Dalian Yingbo B71517:8-18
    7Nantong Haimen71428:627
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu71426:10-47
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang75028:6215
    2Guangzhou Dandelion741210:7313
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Jiangxi Lushan72328:629
    7Shenzhen723210:11-19
    8Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    9Ganzhou Ruishi71425:6-17
    10Wenzhou Professional70433:6-34
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )