Hubei Istar vs Lanzhou Longyuan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/06/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.06
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
78% (335/427)85% (399/471)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.902.22
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2030
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
78% (335/427)85% (399/471)
Long passes
40% (36/89)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
51% (49/97)70% (95/136)
Crosses
40% (6/15)41% (11/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.78
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1710
Tackles
78% (18/23)42% (5/12)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
3427
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.220.90
Goals prevented
-0.78-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Wen Jialong , Wang Z. (A),
  • 18', Chen Kerui 🟨,
  • 34', Cui Shengcheng 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Mijit M. , Chen Kerui (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mei Jingxuan , Zhang Chongguang ,
  • 46', Liu Yang , Pan Yuchen ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Wang Z. , Xia Z. (A),
  • 57', Cui Shengcheng , Huang W. ,
  • 63', Xiao Yufeng , Chen Yanxin ,
  • 72', Yang Shengming , Tai Jianfeng ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Chen Zitong ,
  • 79', Gao S. , Zhou Y. ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Zhang Chongguang ,
  • 81', Zhang Chongguang , Memetabla S. ,

Chances of winning


Hubei Istar
49%
Draw
28.4%
Lanzhou Longyuan
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 30.2% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 30.2% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubei Istar's performance.
  • Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubei Istar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.12)
    3.19
    (3)
    4
    (3.34)
    10.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hubei Istar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Lanzhou Longyuan (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lanzhou Longyuan (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Hubei Istar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hubei Istar (votes: 1 - 20%). Lanzhou Longyuan (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Hubei Istar is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Hubei Istar 2:0
    13.07.2024 Lanzhou Longyuan - Hubei Istar 1:0
    05.05.2024 Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan 1:0
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B11006:153
    2Taian Tiankuang11003:123
    3Lanzhou Longyuan11001:013
    4Qingdao Red Lions10101:101
    5Changchun Xidu10101:101
    6Nantong Haimen10100:001
    7Shanxi Chongde Ronghai10100:001
    8Dalian Yingbo B10100:001
    9Dalian Kewei10100:001
    10Beijing Technology10010:1-10
    11Shandong Taishan B10011:3-20
    12Shanghai Second10011:6-50


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xiamen Feilu11002:023
    2Hubei Istar11001:013
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B11001:013
    4Jiangxi Lushan10102:201
    5Hangzhou Linping10102:201
    6Shenzhen10101:101
    7Wuhan Three Towns B10101:101
    8Ganzhou Ruishi10100:001
    9Guangdong Mingtu10100:001
    10Wenzhou Professional10010:1-10
    11Guangzhou Dandelion10010:1-10
    12Guizhou Guiyang10010:2-20

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