Hugo Gaston vs Yannick Hanfmann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Madrid Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann
Result
2:1
21/04/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
50%58%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (44/64)67% (38/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (32/64)59% (24/41)
Break Points Saved
75% (15/20)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
33% (19/57)31% (20/64)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (17/41)50% (32/64)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)25% (5/20)
Winners
3643
Unforced Errors
3754
Net Points Won
69% (9/13)62% (18/29)
Service Points Won
59% (76/128)63% (62/98)
Return Points Won
37% (36/98)41% (52/128)
Total Points Won
50% (112/226)50% (114/226)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
40.3%
Yannick Hanfmann
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.1)

    1.57
    (1.69)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 82. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 131.
    • Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Hanfmann is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Hanfmann will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston 2:1
    06.04.2024 Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston 2:1
    12.02.2023 Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann 0:2
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Latest results of Yannick Hanfmann
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Bautista-Agut R.Munar J.2 : 1
    3Borges N.Carreno-Busta P. (WC)2 : 1
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (28)
    5Cerundolo F. (20)Bye
    6Moutet C. (RET.)Mayot H. (Q)0 : 1
    7Comesana F.Martinez P.2 : 0
    8ByeFils A. (13)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Mpetshi Perricard G.Navone M.0 : 2
    11Lajovic D. (Q)Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeMensik J. (22)
    13Popyrin A. (25)Bye
    14Michelsen A.Bublik A.0 : 2
    15Monfils G.Gojo B. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeRublev A. (7)
    17Fritz T. (3)Bye
    18O'Connell C.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    19Bonzi B.Cilic M. (WC)2 : 0
    20ByeHurkacz H. (27)
    21Korda S. (23)Bye
    22Cina F. (WC)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    23Safiullin R.Rinderknech A.0 : 2
    24ByeRuud C. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (9)Bye
    26Fognini F. (Q)Djere L.0 : 2
    27Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    28ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (18)
    29Nakashima B. (31)Bye
    30Ofner S. (PR)Gaston H. (Q)2 : 0
    31Marozsan F.Cobolli F.0 : 2
    32ByeRune H. (8)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Griekspoor T.Kopriva V. (Q)2 : 0
    35Tien L.Giron M.1 : 2
    36ByeBerrettini M. (30)
    37Khachanov K. (24)Bye
    38Opelka R. (PR)Hijikata R. (LL)2 : 0
    39Fonseca J.Moller E. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByePaul T. (11)
    41Tiafoe F. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Darderi L.0 : 2
    43Goffin D. (RET.)Muller A.1 : 1
    44ByeHumbert U. (21)
    45Baez S. (32)Bye
    46Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 1
    47Arnaldi M.Coric B. (Q)2 : 1
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Sonego L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    51Vukic A.Nishikori K.1 : 2
    52ByeShapovalov D. (29)
    53Tsitsipas S. (17)Bye
    54Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL)Struff J-L.1 : 1
    55Etcheverry T. M.Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    56ByeMusetti L. (10)
    57Dimitrov G. (15)Bye
    58Altmaier D. (Q)Jarry N.0 : 2
    59Bu Y.Fearnley J. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (19)
    61Lehecka J. (26)Bye
    62Landaluce M. (WC)Norrie C.1 : 2
    63Bergs Z.Diallo G. (LL)0 : 2
    64ByeMajchrzak K. (LL)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    2Borges N.Davidovich Fokina A. (28)0 : 2
    3Cerundolo F. (20)Mayot H.2 : 0
    4Comesana F.Fils A. (13)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (12)Navone M.2 : 1
    6Quinn E.Mensik J. (22)0 : 2
    7Popyrin A. (25)Bublik A.0 : 2
    8Monfils G.Rublev A. (WO.) (7)
    9Fritz T. (3)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    10Bonzi B.Hurkacz H. (27)2 : 0
    11Korda S. (23)Cina F.2 : 1
    12Rinderknech A.Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (WO.) (9)Djere L.
    14Cerundolo J. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (18)2 : 0
    15Nakashima B. (31)Ofner S.2 : 0
    16Cobolli F.Rune H. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    17Draper J. (5)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    18Giron M.Berrettini M. (30)1 : 2
    19Khachanov K. (24)Opelka R.2 : 0
    20Fonseca J.Paul T. (11)0 : 2
    21Tiafoe F. (16)Darderi L. (RET.)1 : 0
    22Muller A.Humbert U. (21)2 : 1
    23Baez S. (32)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    24Arnaldi M.Djokovic N. (4)2 : 0
    25De Minaur A. (6)Sonego L.2 : 0
    26Nishikori K.Shapovalov D. (29)0 : 2
    27Tsitsipas S. (17)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    28Etcheverry T. M.Musetti L. (10)0 : 2
    29Dimitrov G. (15)Jarry N.2 : 0
    30Fearnley J.Machac T. (19)2 : 1
    31Lehecka J. (26)Norrie C.1 : 2
    32Diallo G. (LL)Majchrzak K. (LL)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (28)2 : 1
    2Cerundolo F. (20)Comesana F.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (12)Mensik J. (22)0 : 2
    4Bublik A.Rublev A. (7)2 : 1
    5Fritz T. (3)Bonzi B. (RET.)1 : 1
    6Korda S. (23)Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0
    8Nakashima B. (31)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    9Draper J. (5)Berrettini M. (RET.) (30)1 : 0
    10Khachanov K. (24)Paul T. (11)1 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (16)Muller A.2 : 0
    12Dzumhur D.Arnaldi M.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (6)Shapovalov D. (29)2 : 0
    14Tsitsipas S. (17)Musetti L. (10)0 : 2
    15Dimitrov G. (15)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Diallo G.1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (20)0 : 2
    2Mensik J. (22)Bublik A.2 : 0
    3Fritz T. (3)Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)Nakashima B. (31)2 : 1
    5Draper J. (5)Paul T. (11)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (16)Arnaldi M.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (6)Musetti L. (10)0 : 2
    8Dimitrov G. (15)Diallo G.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (20)Mensik J. (22)2 : 1
    2Ruud C. (14)Medvedev D. (9)2 : 0
    3Draper J. (5)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Musetti L. (10)Diallo G.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (20)Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    2Draper J. (5)Musetti L. (10)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ruud C. (14)Draper J. (5)2 : 1