Hugo Gaston vs Yannick Hanfmann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/04/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
50%58%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (44/64)67% (38/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (32/64)59% (24/41)
Break Points Saved
75% (15/20)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
33% (19/57)31% (20/64)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (17/41)50% (32/64)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)25% (5/20)
Winners
3643
Unforced Errors
3754
Net Points Won
69% (9/13)62% (18/29)
Service Points Won
59% (76/128)63% (62/98)
Return Points Won
37% (36/98)41% (52/128)
Total Points Won
50% (112/226)50% (114/226)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
40.3%
Yannick Hanfmann
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.1)

    1.57
    (1.69)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Gaston will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 82. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 131.
    • Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Hanfmann is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Hanfmann will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston 2:1
    06.04.2024 Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston 2:1
    12.02.2023 Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann 0:2
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Latest results of Yannick Hanfmann
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Lehecka J. (11)TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2