Birmingham City vs Hull City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 10
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.12
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2814
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
81% (406/503)68% (188/275)
Yellow Cards
47
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.332.61
Total shots
2814
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
144
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
3522
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
147
Passes
81% (406/503)68% (188/275)
Long passes
46% (30/65)31% (21/67)
Passes in final third
73% (114/156)47% (45/95)
Crosses
23% (7/31)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.84
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
714
Tackles
67% (8/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5936
Clearances
1537
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
2.611.33
Goals prevented
0.61-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Robinson J. (Own goal),
  • 16', Coyle L. 🟨,
  • 20', Akintola B. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Stansfield J. ,
  • 45', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 45', Gelhardt J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 2, Slater R. , Coyle L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Akintola B. , Crooks M. ,
  • 50', Coyle L. , Drameh C. ,
  • 54', Beadle J. 🟨,
  • 59', Robinson J. 🟨,
  • 59', Robinson J. 🟨,
  • 63', Anderson K. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 63', Leonard M. , Doyle T. ,
  • 68', Crooks M. 🟨,
  • 70', McBurnie O. , Millar L. ,
  • 70', Hadziahmetovic A. , Gyabi D. ,
  • 76', Pandur I. 🟨,
  • 80', Joseph K. , Destan E. ,
  • 83', Egan J. 🟨,
  • 83', Cochrane A. , Koumas L. ,
  • 84', Paik Seung-Ho , Dykes L. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Gelhardt J. , Millar L. (A),
  • 90+6', 2 - 3, Stansfield J. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Destan E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
45.4%
Draw
28.9%
Hull City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 26.1% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 29.2% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.
  • Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Birmingham City - Hull City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.8)
    3.55
    (3.62)
    3.93
    (4.43)
    -5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Hull City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hull may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Osayi-Samuel B. (Foot Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hull: Lundstram J. (Calf Injury) Vaughan H. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Hull City were as follows:
    05.03.2024 Hull City - Birmingham City 1:1
    16.01.2024 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:1
    06.01.2024 Hull City - Birmingham City 1:1
    25.10.2023 Birmingham City - Hull City 0:2
    30.12.2022 Birmingham City - Hull City 0:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Hull City
    27.09.2025 Watford - Hull City 2:1
    20.09.2025 Hull City - Southampton 3:1
    13.09.2025 Swansea City - Hull City 2:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One