Result
2:3
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 10
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (406/503) | 68% (188/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (406/503) | 68% (188/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (114/156) | 47% (45/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Robinson J. (Own goal),
- 16', Coyle L. 🟨,
- 20', Akintola B. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽,
- 45', Stansfield J. 🟨,
- 45', Gelhardt J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Slater R. ⚽, Coyle L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Akintola B. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
- 50', Coyle L. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
- 54', Beadle J. 🟨,
- 59', Robinson J. 🟨,
- 59', Robinson J. 🟨,
- 63', Anderson K. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 63', Leonard M. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 68', Crooks M. 🟨,
- 70', McBurnie O. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
- 70', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
- 76', Pandur I. 🟨,
- 80', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
- 83', Egan J. 🟨,
- 83', Cochrane A. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 84', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Gelhardt J. ⚽, Millar L. (A),
- 90+6', 2 - 3, Stansfield J. (Pen),
- 90+8', Destan E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City 45.4% | Draw 28.9% | Hull City 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Birmingham City - Hull City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.43 ↑ (1.8) |
3.55 ↓ (3.62) |
3.93 ↓ (4.43) |
-5.3% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Hull City?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Hull may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Ducksch M.
(Calf Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
Williams B.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Osayi-Samuel B.
(Foot Injury)
Stansfield J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hull: Lundstram J.
(Calf Injury)
Vaughan H.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Hull City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Birmingham City?
Hull City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Hull City were as follows:
05.03.2024
Hull City
-
Birmingham City
1:1
16.01.2024
Birmingham City
-
Hull City
2:1
06.01.2024
Hull City
-
Birmingham City
1:1
25.10.2023
Birmingham City
-
Hull City
0:2
30.12.2022
Birmingham City
-
Hull City
0:1
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Hull City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One