Result
0:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 25
- Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (274/384) | 72% (266/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (274/384) | 72% (266/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (35/86) | 35% (29/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (54/102) | 46% (43/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Crooks M. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Bozenik R. ⚽,
- 45+1', Slater R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Joseph K. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
- 54', Bozenik R. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 69', Bae J. 🟨,
- 73', Famewo A. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
- 73', Gyabi D. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
- 82', Ndala J. 🟨,
- 89', Slater R. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
- 89', Millar L. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
- 90+4', Talovierov M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 90+6', Rigo T. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 90+13', Lawal B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hull City
42.2% | Draw
28.8% | Stoke City
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hull City - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.51) |
3.31 ↓
(3.37) |
3.26 ↑
(2.76) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hull City - Stoke City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Hull (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hull City will win
(37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.
- Hull has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S.
(International duty)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
Williams B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bocat E.
(Inactive)
Cresswell A.
(Injury)
Pearson B.
(Red Card)
Tchamadeu J.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Hull: Giles R.
(Injury)
Lundstram J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Stoke City?
Hull City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Hull City?
Stoke City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Stoke City were as follows:
29.11.2025
Stoke City
-
Hull City
1:2
01.02.2025
Hull City
-
Stoke City
1:2
20.09.2024
Stoke City
-
Hull City
1:3
29.03.2024
Hull City
-
Stoke City
0:2
24.09.2023
Stoke City
-
Hull City
1:3
Latest results of Hull City
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
