Hull City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

MKM Stadium (Hull).

Championship - Round 25
Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.59
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
71% (274/384)	72% (266/368)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	1.47
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
12	8
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
71% (274/384)	72% (266/368)
Long passes
41% (35/86)	35% (29/82)
Passes in final third
53% (54/102)	46% (43/94)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.54
Throw-ins
20	18
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
43% (10/23)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
59	56
Clearances
23	44
Interceptions
5	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.47	0.40
Goals prevented
0.47	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Crooks M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Bozenik R. ⚽,
45+1', Slater R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joseph K. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
54', Bozenik R. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
69', Bae J. 🟨,
73', Famewo A. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
73', Gyabi D. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
82', Ndala J. 🟨,
89', Slater R. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
89', Millar L. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
90+4', Talovierov M. 🟨,
90+6', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
90+6', Rigo T. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
90+13', Lawal B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Hull City
42.2%

Draw
28.8%

Stoke City
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.1%

34.3%

Hull City - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.51)	3.31 ↓ (3.37)	3.26 ↑ (2.76)	5.3% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Hull City - Stoke City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Hull (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hull City will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hull (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3.
Hull has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (International duty) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Inactive)
There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bocat E. (Inactive) Cresswell A. (Injury) Pearson B. (Red Card) Tchamadeu J. (International duty)
There are questionable in Hull: Giles R. (Injury) Lundstram J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Stoke City?

Hull City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Hull City?

Stoke City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Stoke City were as follows:

29.11.2025 Stoke City - Hull City 1:2

01.02.2025 Hull City - Stoke City 1:2

20.09.2024 Stoke City - Hull City 1:3

29.03.2024 Hull City - Stoke City 0:2

24.09.2023 Stoke City - Hull City 1:3

Latest results of Hull City

29.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City 2:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Hull City - West Bromwich Albion 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Millwall - Hull City 1:3 ✺

10.12.2025 Hull City - Wrexham 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

29.12.2025 Stoke City - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Watford - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

10.12.2025 Ipswich Town - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One