Wrexham vs Hull City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.141.54
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
84
Passes
80% (412/514)70% (217/310)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.141.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.60
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
911
Passes
80% (412/514)70% (217/310)
Long passes
34% (19/56)33% (22/66)
Passes in final third
69% (104/150)54% (62/114)
Crosses
7% (2/29)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.62
Throw ins
3131
Fouls
119
Tackles
67% (16/24)42% (5/12)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
2733
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.600.93
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', McBurnie O. 🟨,
  • 8', Smith S. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Gelhardt J. ,
  • 44', Gelhardt J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', Hughes C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vyner Z. , Rathbone O. ,
  • 49', Rathbone O. 🟨,
  • 60', Hadziahmetovic A. , Lundstram J. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Koumas L. , Millar L. (A),
  • 66', Hyam D. 🟨,
  • 69', McBurnie O. , Joseph K. ,
  • 69', McNair P. , Ajayi S. ,
  • 70', Longman R. , Kabore I. ,
  • 70', Windass J. , Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Broadhead N. , Kabore I. (A),
  • 82', Gelhardt J. , Belloumi M. ,
  • 82', Millar L. , Collyer T. ,
  • 84', Cleworth M. , Cadamarteri B. ,
  • 84', Smith S. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 86', Collyer T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Joseph K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
48.4%
Draw
26%
Hull City
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 26% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 25.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Wrexham - Hull City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.09)
    3.65
    (3.63)
    3.68
    (3.28)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Hull City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Wrexham (2.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Wrexham (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Hull (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (73 of 89 users predict this - 82.02%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.04%90%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 34 - 87.2%). Hull (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hull has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hull may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Wrexham could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Dobson G. (Red Card) James A. (Injury) O'Connor T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Crooks M. (Yellow Cards) Famewo A. (Calf Injury) Giles R. (Inactive) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Hirakawa Y. (Injury) Jacob M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Injury) James M. (Inactive) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Hull City were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Hull City - Wrexham 2:0
    12.08.2025 Wrexham - Hull City 4:3
    Latest results of Wrexham
    07.03.2026 Wrexham - Chelsea 2:4
    24.02.2026 Wrexham - Portsmouth 2:1
    21.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 5:3
    17.02.2026 Bristol City - Wrexham 2:2
    Latest results of Hull City
    07.03.2026 Hull City - Millwall 1:3
    03.03.2026 Ipswich Town - Hull City 1:0
    28.02.2026 Portsmouth - Hull City 0:1
    24.02.2026 Hull City - Derby County 4:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One