Result
24:31
11/04/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 9
- Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 50 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 96 | 125 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 300 | 388 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 24)
- 9', Umaga-Jensen P. (Try),
- 10', Hohepa R. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Williams T. (Try),
- 14', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
- 16', Moananu I. (Try),
- 17', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Hohepa R. (Penalty Goal),
- 24', Newell F. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 26', Kemara T. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
- 31', Havili D. ↓, Springer M. ↑,
- 31', O'Connor J. (Try),
- 32', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 38', O'Connor J. (Missed Conversion),
- 38', Bower G. ↓, Newell F. ↑,
- 40', Fihaki C. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (14 - 7)
- 41', O'Connor J. ↓, Kemara T. ↑,
- 51', Moananu I. (Try),
- 52', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Hohepa R. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
- 52', Punivai N. ↓, Fineanganofo F. ↑,
- 54', Numia X. ↓, Rakete-Stones P. ↑,
- 54', Aumua A. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
- 54', Gallagher Z. ↓, Tucker W. ↑,
- 54', Lomax T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
- 55', Williams T. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 56', Hannah J. ↓, Shalfoon A. ↑,
- 57', Iose B. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
- 59', Grace C. ↓, Christie T. ↑,
- 63', Moananu I. ↓, Moulds M. ↑,
- 63', Hotham N. ↓, Drummond M. ↑,
- 65', Lakai P. (Try),
- 65', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Naholo K. ↓, Punivai N. ↑,
- 69', Blackadder E. 🟨,
- 71', Shalfoon A. 🟨,
- 73', Umaga-Jensen P. (Try),
- 73', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Newell F. ↓, Sykes-Martin K. ↑,
- 74', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
- 76', Aumua L. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hurricanes
53.2% | Draw
4.3% | Crusaders
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hurricanes's performance.Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hurricanes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hurricanes - Crusaders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.06) |
21.67 ↓
(23) |
2.19 ↑
(1.81) |
8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 57.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hurricanes won 2.
- Recent matches Hurricanes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Crusaders is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Our prediction for today's Hurricanes to win the game is with odds 1.75.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Hurricanes won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 456:552 (average 22.8:27.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hurricanes won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 197:215 (average 24.6:26.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hurricanes won against Crusaders?
Hurricanes has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Hurricanes?
Crusaders has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hurricanes - Crusaders were as follows:
14.02.2025
Crusaders
-
Hurricanes
33:25
15.03.2024
Crusaders
-
Hurricanes
10:14
03.06.2023
Hurricanes
-
Crusaders
27:26
Latest results of Hurricanes
Latest results of Crusaders
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
