Result
3:1
23/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 14
- Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (308/420) | 73% (316/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (308/420) | 73% (316/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (27/79) | 30% (24/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (89/122) | 61% (94/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 100% (13/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Okosun A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Gothler A. ⚽, Larsen G. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, Elvius M. ⚽, Krogstad F. (A),
- 64', 2 - 1, Kjaergaard O. ⚽, Stenderup D. (A),
- 65', Koch S. ↓, Fredslund M. ↑,
- 65', Egho M. ↓, Hogh Jensen F. ↑,
- 68', Mudi ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
- 73', Larsen G. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 76', Okosun A. ↓, Spelmann M. ↑,
- 86', Gothler A. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 86', Brodersen R. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 86', Bust L. ↓, Jakobsen M. ↑,
- 86', Smed A. ↓, Aby E. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Hogh Jensen F. ⚽, Spelmann M. (A),
Chances of winning
Hvidovre
56.2% | Draw
23.5% | HB Køge
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hvidovre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Hvidovre - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.74) |
3.97 ↓
(4.15) |
4.56 ↑
(3.95) |
7.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hvidovre - HB Køge?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Hvidovre will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Køge will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hvidovre: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hvidovre (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hvidovre won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Hvidovre is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hvidovre won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hvidovre won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hvidovre won against HB Køge?
Hvidovre has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Hvidovre?
HB Køge has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hvidovre - HB Køge were as follows:
27.09.2025
HB Køge
-
Hvidovre
0:2
29.07.2025
Hvidovre
-
HB Køge
4:3
08.07.2025
Hvidovre
-
HB Køge
4:2
10.11.2024
HB Køge
-
Hvidovre
1:0
19.07.2024
Hvidovre
-
HB Køge
1:0
Latest results of Hvidovre
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30:26 | 4 | 33 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Horsens | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | B.93 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23:33 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Hobro | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Koge | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
