Result
1:0
14/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 15
- Referee: Haflidason Oddur G. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (152/247) | 83% (437/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (152/247) | 83% (437/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (36/83) | 68% (125/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
- 34', Fridriksson F. ↓, Nokkvason N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Thorvardarson V. ↓, Heidarsson O. ↑,
- 66', Bjarnason A. ↓, Barkarson J. H. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 0, Hilmarsson A. ⚽, Hjaltested S. (A),
- 77', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
- 77', Nokkvason G. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 90', Eggertsson O. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 90', Kristjansson G. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 90+3', Waren B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
37.7% | Draw
25.4% | Stjarnan
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ÍBV Vestmannaeyar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.82) |
3.65 ↑
(3.52) |
2.51 ↑
(2.34) |
7.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. ÍBV will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ÍBV: 15.1% – 58.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. ÍBV (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - ÍBV (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 1.
- ÍBV is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Stjarnan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- ÍBV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, ÍBV has had a series of home games.
- Stjarnan might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:44. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, ÍBV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has ÍBV Vestmannaeyar won against Stjarnan?
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against ÍBV Vestmannaeyar?
Stjarnan has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan were as follows:
28.04.2025
Stjarnan
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
2:3
08.02.2025
Stjarnan
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
3:2
05.08.2023
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
-
Stjarnan
0:2
13.05.2023
Stjarnan
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
4:0
19.04.2023
Stjarnan
-
ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
1:0
Latest results of ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
