Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 84% (390/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 84% (390/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/119) | 76% (142/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Raisanen A. ⚽, Daoussi Y. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Dahlstrom S. (A),
- 39', Adedoyin K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', El Ouatki Y. 🟨,
- 65', Daoussi Y. ↓, Engstrom J. ↑,
- 65', El Ouatki Y. ↓, Dekker T. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Nissinen J. ⚽, Dahlstrom S. (A),
- 69', Olawale M. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 69', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Huttunen A. ↑,
- 83', Enqvist D. ↓, El-Kathemi E. ↑,
- 83', Wilson W. ↓, Keturi O. ↑,
- 83', Raisanen A. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
- 88', Kujasalo N. 🟨,
- 90', Nissinen J. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
31.7% | Draw
26.2% | VPS Vaasa
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Mariehamn's performance.VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Mariehamn that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.69) |
3.59 ↓
(3.76) |
2.24 ↑
(1.94) |
5.4%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. VPS (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
VPS Vaasa will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 0.
- Mariehamn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- VPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- VPS could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against VPS Vaasa?
IFK Mariehamn has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against IFK Mariehamn?
VPS Vaasa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
01.08.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:1
14.06.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
1:5
28.07.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
12.06.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
0:0
03.09.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
1:2
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 49 |
| 2 | Ilves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | HJK | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 45 |
| 4 | KuPS | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:34 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 34:41 | -7 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
