Result
2:0
27/01/2026 at 19:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | HBO Max |
 Canada | RDS App |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | HBO Max |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Denmark | HBO Max |
 Finland | HBO Max |
 France | HBO Max |
 Hungary | HBO Max |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | HBO Max |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | HBO Max |
 Romania | HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | HBO Max, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | HBO Max |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ |
 Usa | ESPN USA |
 Venezuela | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 49% | 55% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 79% (23/29) | 60% (18/30) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 40% (10/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 43% (3/7) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 179 km/h | 166 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 138 km/h | 145 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 21% (6/29) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 43% (13/30) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 100% (6/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (40/59) | 51% (28/55) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 32% (19/59) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (67/114) | 41% (47/114) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 32% (6/19) |
Chances of winning
Elena Rybakina
53.5% | Iga Swiatek
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.96) |
|
2.05 ↑
(1.87) |
4.7%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Swiatek will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 42.4% – 76.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 13 - 65%). Swiatek (votes: 7 - 35%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Set - Rybakina (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Swiatek (votes: 7 - 31.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Rybakina is ranked WTA: 5. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 1.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Iga Swiatek?
Elena Rybakina has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Elena Rybakina?
Iga Swiatek has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
26.12.2025
Iga Swiatek
-
Elena Rybakina
2:0
03.11.2025
Iga Swiatek
-
Elena Rybakina
1:2
17.08.2025
Elena Rybakina
-
Iga Swiatek
0:2
01.06.2025
Elena Rybakina
-
Iga Swiatek
1:2
13.02.2025
Elena Rybakina
-
Iga Swiatek
0:2
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Latest results of Iga Swiatek
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Bai Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Lamens S. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Sawangkaew M. | Raducanu E. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mboko V. (17) | Jones E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | McNally C. | Sakatsume H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kudermetova P. | Maristany G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Galfi D. | Tauson C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Sonmez Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bondar A. | Mandlik E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Putintseva Y. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Jacquemot E. | Kostyuk M. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Jovic I. (29) | Volynets K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hon P. (WC) | Stakusic M. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Erjavec V. | Frech M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Danilovic O. | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Hunter S. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Baptiste H. | Townsend T. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Muchova K. (19) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Parks A. | Eala A. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Li A. | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Linette M. | Navarro E. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Svitolina E. (12) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Klimovicova L. (Q) | Jones F. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 27 | Gibson T. (WC) | Blinkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Krejcikova B. | Shnaider D. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Yastremska D. (26) | Ruse G. | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | Tomljanovic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Vekic D. | Andreeva M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Pegula J. (6) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Arango E. | Kessler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Selekhmeteva O. | Seidel E. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Diyas Z. (WC) | Badosa P. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Fernandez L. (22) | Tjen J. | 0 : 2 |
| 38 | Pliskova Ka. | Stephens S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Krueger A. | Bejlek S. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Oliynykova O. | Keys M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Noskova L. (13) | Semenistaja D. | 2 : 0 |
| 42 | Zhang S. | Preston T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Wang Xin. | Kalinina A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Sramkova R. | Ostapenko J. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 45 | Kenin S. (27) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 46 | Marcinko P. | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Udvardy P. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Waltert S. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Rybakina E. (5) | Juvan K. | 2 : 0 |
| 50 | Gracheva V. | Golubic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Sun L. | Fruhvirtova L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Valentova T. | Joint M. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 53 | Mertens E. (21) | Tararudee L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 54 | Sierra S. | Uchijima M. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Kasatkina D. | Bartunkova N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Boulter K. | Bencic B. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Osaka N. (16) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 58 | Cirstea S. | Lys E. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Inglis M. (Q) | Birrell K. | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Siegemund L. | Samsonova L. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 61 | Kalinskaya A. (31) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 62 | Grabher J. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Zarazua R. | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Yuan Y. (Q) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bai Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Potapova A. | Raducanu E. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mboko V. (17) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kudermetova P. | Tauson C. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Sonmez Z. | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Putintseva Y. | Jacquemot E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Jovic I. (29) | Hon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Frech M. | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Danilovic O. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Hunter S. | Baptiste H. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Muchova K. (19) | Parks A. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Li A. | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (12) | Klimovicova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gibson T. | Shnaider D. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Ruse G. | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sakkari M. | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (6) | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Selekhmeteva O. | Badosa P. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Tjen J. | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Krueger A. | Keys M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Noskova L. (13) | Preston T. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Wang Xin. | Ostapenko J. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Stearns P. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Siniakova K. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (5) | Gracheva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Fruhvirtova L. | Valentova T. | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Mertens E. (21) | Uchijima M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bartunkova N. | Bencic B. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Osaka N. (16) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Inglis M. | Siegemund L. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Kalinskaya A. (31) | Grabher J. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bouzkova M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mboko V. (17) | Tauson C. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sonmez Z. | Putintseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jovic I. (29) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Muchova K. (19) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (12) | Shnaider D. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Ruse G. | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (6) | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Pliskova Ka. | Keys M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Noskova L. (13) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Stearns P. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (5) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Mertens E. (21) | Bartunkova N. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Osaka N. (16) | Inglis M. (WO.) | |
| 16 | Kalinskaya A. (31) | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mboko V. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Putintseva Y. | Jovic I. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Muchova K. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (12) | Andreeva M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (6) | Keys M. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wang Xin. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (5) | Mertens E. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Inglis M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Jovic I. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Svitolina E. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (6) | Anisimova A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. (5) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Svitolina E. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (6) | Rybakina E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (5) | 1 : 2 |
