Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
65%71%
1st serve points won
78% (25/32)52% (23/44)
2nd serve points won
76% (13/17)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
0/14/8
1st return points won
48% (21/44)22% (7/32)
2nd return points won
50% (9/18)24% (4/17)
Break Points Converted
4/81/1
Service Points Won
78% (38/49)52% (32/62)
Return Points Won
48% (30/62)22% (11/49)
Total Points Won
61% (68/111)39% (43/111)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)50% (5/10)
Return games won
50% (5/10)11% (1/9)
Total games won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Elena Rybakina
67.4%
Karolina Muchova
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elena Rybakina - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.49)

    2.93
    (2.61)
    4.5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Muchova will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 67.4%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 50%). Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2. Muchova is ranked WTA: 12.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Muchova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rybakina is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    08.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    16.03.2023 Karolina Muchova - Elena Rybakina 1:2
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Andreeva M. (6)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (4)Muchova K. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rybakina E. (1)Muchova K. (7)2 : 0