Igdirspor vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 14
  • Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.73
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (353/416)84% (391/466)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.77
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
412
Passes
85% (353/416)84% (391/466)
Long passes
46% (23/50)65% (33/51)
Passes in final third
68% (50/73)63% (71/113)
Crosses
25% (5/20)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.20
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
124
Tackles
76% (13/17)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
2513
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.770.03
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Gerxhaliu A. (Own goal),
  • 23', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
  • 28', Keser B. 🟨,
  • 30', Tepe T. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Tozlu E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Bruno G. , Kaya G. (A),
  • 69', Cavlan C. , Asan S. ,
  • 69', Akgun S. , Sylla C. ,
  • 78', Mendes R. , Engin A. ,
  • 82', Crociata G. , Kabak A. ,
  • 83', Keser B. , Yumlu M. ,
  • 83', Ovacikli O. , Ulgen A. ,
  • 85', Bruno G. , Koita F. ,
  • 85', Fofana M. , Rotariu D. ,
  • 90+4', Fettahoglu M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
43.3%
Draw
28.8%
Erzurumspor
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 29.9% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 31% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Igdirspor - Erzurumspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.22)
    3.22
    (3.09)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    8.1%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Erzurumspor?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Erzurumspor (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Igdirspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Erzurumspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Igdirspor could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Erzurumspor - Igdirspor 0:0
    27.09.2024 Igdirspor - Erzurumspor 1:2
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    09.11.2025 Çorum - Igdirspor 3:1
    03.11.2025 Igdirspor - Bandırmaspor 1:1
    26.10.2025 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 2:0
    19.10.2025 Igdirspor - Boluspor 1:1
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    09.11.2025 Erzurumspor - Erokspor 1:1
    31.10.2025 Hatayspor - Erzurumspor 0:3
    24.10.2025 Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor 2:0
    18.10.2025 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 1:1
    04.10.2025 Erzurumspor - Vanspor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to