Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Igdirspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul).

1. Lig - Round 38
Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	1.73
Ball Possession
27%	73%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
61% (117/193)	81% (435/539)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	1.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.61	1.02
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
17	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	4
Free Kicks
18	23
Passes
61% (117/193)	81% (435/539)
Long passes
47% (28/60)	41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
46% (35/76)	55% (68/123)
Crosses
36% (4/11)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.34
Throw-ins
14	21
Fouls
23	18
Tackles
80% (12/15)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
61	43
Clearances
38	14
Interceptions
8	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.02	1.61
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
39', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Avramovski D. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
59', Johnson D. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
65', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
68', Conte A. 🟨,
73', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
85', Engin A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
85', Sarikaya M. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
86', Ulvan T. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
86', Gurpuz G. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Gray A. ⚽, Sivri A. (A),
90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
90+4', Eysseric V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fatih Karagümrükspor
30.1%

Draw
26.6%

Igdirspor
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.5%

38.3%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)	8.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor?

Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Igdirspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Igdirspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O. (Inactive)
There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S. (Elbow Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Igdirspor?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Igdirspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor were as follows:

11.01.2025 Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:1

18.07.2024 Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

04.05.2025 Pendikspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Boluspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği 0:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Igdirspor

04.05.2025 Igdirspor - Kocaelispor 4:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Yeni Malatyaspor - Igdirspor 0:9 ✺

21.04.2025 Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor 4:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Igdirspor 1:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Igdirspor - İstanbulspor 3:0 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Amedspor	24	15	4	5	53:28	25	49
2	Erzurumspor	24	13	9	2	44:18	26	48
3	Erokspor	24	13	8	3	55:20	35	47
4	Bodrumspor	24	12	6	6	49:20	29	42
5	Corum	24	12	5	7	36:26	10	41
6	Pendikspor	24	10	9	5	34:21	13	39
7	Igdir FK	24	10	7	7	33:32	1	37
8	Keciorengucu	24	9	9	6	46:28	18	36
9	Bandirmaspor	24	10	6	8	32:25	7	36
10	Boluspor	24	10	5	9	42:32	10	35
11	Vanspor FK	24	9	7	8	33:24	9	34
12	Manisa FK	24	9	7	8	36:34	2	34
13	Istanbulspor AS	24	7	11	6	31:33	-2	32
14	Sivasspor	24	7	9	8	27:24	3	30
15	Sariyer	24	9	3	12	24:32	-8	30
16	Umraniyespor	24	8	4	12	27:31	-4	28
17	Serik Spor	24	7	5	12	24:46	-22	26
18	Sakaryaspor	24	6	5	13	32:45	-13	23
19	Hatayspor	24	0	7	17	18:65	-47	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	24	0	2	22	15:107	-92	-28

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to