Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.73 |
Ball Possession |
---|
27% | 73% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
61% (117/193) | 81% (435/539) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.61 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
61% (117/193) | 81% (435/539) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (28/60) | 41% (27/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
46% (35/76) | 55% (68/123) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (4/11) | 21% (5/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
23 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
38 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 1.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Avramovski D. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
- 59', Johnson D. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 65', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
- 68', Conte A. 🟨,
- 73', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 85', Engin A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
- 85', Sarikaya M. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
- 86', Ulvan T. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 86', Gurpuz G. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Gray A. ⚽, Sivri A. (A),
- 90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Eysseric V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor 30.1% | Draw 26.6% | Igdirspor 43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igdirspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↑ (2.8) |
3.46 ↑ (3.2) |
2.12 ↓ (2.5) |
8.7% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Igdirspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Igdirspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Igdirspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Igdirspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor were as follows:
11.01.2025
Igdirspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
0:1
18.07.2024
Igdirspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Igdirspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Adana Demirspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Istanbulspor AS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Sakaryaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Amedspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Hatayspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Boluspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Erzurumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Corum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bodrumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Manisa FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Serik Spor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Igdir FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation