Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (117/193) | 81% (435/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (117/193) | 81% (435/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 55% (68/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Avramovski D. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
- 59', Johnson D. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 65', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
- 68', Conte A. 🟨,
- 73', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 85', Engin A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
- 85', Sarikaya M. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
- 86', Ulvan T. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 86', Gurpuz G. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Gray A. ⚽, Sivri A. (A),
- 90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Eysseric V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
30.1% | Draw
26.6% | Igdirspor
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igdirspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.8) |
3.46 ↑
(3.2) |
2.12 ↓
(2.5) |
8.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor?
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Igdirspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Igdirspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Igdirspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Igdirspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor were as follows:
11.01.2025
Igdirspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
0:1
18.07.2024
Igdirspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Igdirspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
