Ilia Simakin vs Ugo Blanchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Ilia Simakin - Ugo Blanchet
Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1313
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
64%60%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (55/73)76% (57/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (21/41)57% (29/51)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)100% (7/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
0 km/h0 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
0 km/h0 km/h
1st Return Points Won
27% (20/75)26% (19/73)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (22/51)49% (20/41)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/7)14% (1/7)
Service Points Won
67% (76/114)68% (86/126)
Return Points Won
32% (40/126)33% (38/114)
Total Points Won
48% (116/240)52% (124/240)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)100% (17/17)
Return Games Won
0% (0/17)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
36.4%
Ugo Blanchet
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Ilia Simakin - Ugo Blanchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.62)

    1.48
    (1.45)
    6%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 256. Blanchet is ranked ATP: 151.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Simakin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Blanchet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Latest results of Ugo Blanchet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Bye
    2Struff J-L.McDonald M.2 : 1
    3Djere L.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    4Tomic B. (Q)Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    7Vukic A.Topo M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zhukayev B. (WC)Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    9Diallo G. (7)Omarkhanov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Blanchet U. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Skatov T. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Nakashima B. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    14Marozsan F.Nardi L.2 : 0
    15Schoolkate T.Walton A.1 : 2
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Struff J-L.1 : 2
    2Shevchenko A.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    4Vukic A.Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (7)Duckworth J.1 : 2
    6Hijikata R.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (5)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8Walton A.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Struff J-L.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (3)2 : 0
    4Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (8)Michelsen A. (6)2 : 0
    2Duckworth J.Medvedev D. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Moutet C. (8)Medvedev D. (2)