Pogradeci vs Iliria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Pogradeci
59.4%
Draw
25.3%
Iliria
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 27.2% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 26.3% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogradeci's performance.
  • Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iliria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogradeci that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iliria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pogradeci - Iliria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.74)
    3.56
    (3.3)
    5.89
    (4.25)
    10.9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
    • Pogradeci is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Iliria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pogradeci is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Pogradeci will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pogradeci won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogradeci - Iliria were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Iliria - Pogradeci 0:0
    Latest results of Pogradeci
    07.11.2025 Burreli - Pogradeci 2:0
    03.11.2025 Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier 1:0
    25.10.2025 Pogradeci - Kastrioti 4:0
    Latest results of Iliria
    03.11.2025 Iliria - Burreli 2:2
    28.10.2025 Apolonia Fier - Iliria 0:0
    24.10.2025 Iliria - Korabi Peshkopi 2:1
    19.10.2025 Kastrioti - Iliria 1:1
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu24183346:232357
    2Laci24166241:152654
    3Pogradeci24147339:201949
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje2489723:24-133
    5Kastrioti2496930:35-533
    6Burreli2487919:27-831
    7Besa Kavaje24771026:26028
    8Korabi Peshkopi24771025:29-428
    9Apolonia Fier24661222:29-724
    10Lushnja24481221:33-1220
    11AF Luftetari243101124:35-1119
    12Kukesi24441619:39-2016

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation