Illescas vs Cazalegas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Luzzi Rangel F. R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Bueno I. ,

Chances of winning


Illescas
69.7%
Draw
20%
Cazalegas
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 26.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 25.3% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illescas's performance.
  • Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cazalegas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cazalegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Illescas - Cazalegas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.67)
    4.86
    (3.45)
    9.45
    (4.8)
    2.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Illescas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cazalegas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Illescas is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Illescas
    09.11.2025 Illescas - Guadalajara B 2:0
    02.11.2025 Marchamalo - Illescas 0:1
    25.10.2025 Illescas - Azuqueca 2:2
    18.10.2025 Villarrubia - Illescas 2:3
    Latest results of Cazalegas
    16.11.2025 Cazalegas - Manchego 0:2
    08.11.2025 Villarrobledo - Cazalegas 1:0
    02.11.2025 Cazalegas - Albacete B 0:4
    25.10.2025 La Solana - Cazalegas 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo24166244:123254
    2Tarancon24156344:182651
    3Puertollano C.F24156336:152151
    4Ciudad Real24143741:221945
    5Albacete B24129332:141845
    6Villacanas24118525:141141
    7Villarrubia24116730:22839
    8San Clemente2498725:27-235
    9Guadalajara B2487921:23-231
    10Marchamalo24851130:31-129
    11Villarrobledo2478922:29-729
    12Huracan de Balazote24921326:35-929
    13La Solana2469916:22-627
    14Illescas24591016:27-1124
    15Azuqueca242101216:30-1416
    16Pedroneras242101219:36-1716
    17Sonseca24261617:52-3512
    18Cazalegas24261612:43-3112

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