Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Chaves A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Illescas
43% | Draw
28.7% | Marchamalo
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Illescas - Marchamalo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.18) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
3.21 ↑
(3.14) |
9.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
- Illescas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marchamalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Illescas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Illescas won against Marchamalo?
Illescas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marchamalo won against Illescas?
Marchamalo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Marchamalo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Marchamalo
-
Illescas
0:1
15.01.2023
Illescas
-
Marchamalo
5:1
Latest results of Illescas
Latest results of Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puertollano C.F | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | Toledo | 29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 46:13 | 33 | 61 |
| 3 | Albacete B | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 45:14 | 31 | 58 |
| 4 | Tarancon | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 50:24 | 26 | 58 |
| 5 | Ciudad Real | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 48:26 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 35:28 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | San Clemente | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 8 | Villacanas | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | Guadalajara B | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Huracan de Balazote | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 | Villarrobledo | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | Marchamalo | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 35:39 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Illescas | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | La Solana | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Pedroneras | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | Azuqueca | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 21:34 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22:61 | -39 | 16 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
