Illescas vs Marchamalo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Chaves A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 1, ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Illescas
43%
Draw
28.7%
Marchamalo
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Illescas - Marchamalo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.18)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (3.14)
    9.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
    • Illescas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marchamalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Illescas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Marchamalo were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Marchamalo - Illescas 0:1
    15.01.2023 Illescas - Marchamalo 5:1
    Latest results of Illescas
    07.03.2026 Azuqueca - Illescas 1:0
    01.03.2026 Illescas - Villarrubia 0:0
    21.02.2026 Tarancón - Illescas 2:1
    15.02.2026 Illescas - Pedroñeras 0:1
    Latest results of Marchamalo
    07.03.2026 Marchamalo - Manchego 2:2
    01.03.2026 Villarrobledo - Marchamalo 2:1
    21.02.2026 Marchamalo - Albacete B 2:1
    14.02.2026 La Solana - Marchamalo 2:5
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo26168245:133256
    2Puertollano C.F26167339:162355
    3Tarancon26157445:212452
    4Albacete B26149338:142451
    5Ciudad Real26154744:242049
    6Villarrubia26126832:24842
    7Villacanas26118725:16941
    8San Clemente26109728:29-139
    9Guadalajara B26971024:25-134
    10Huracan de Balazote26931427:37-1030
    11Villarrobledo26791024:33-930
    12Marchamalo26861233:35-230
    13La Solana266101017:24-728
    14Illescas26691118:29-1127
    15Azuqueca264101218:30-1222
    16Pedroneras263111221:37-1620
    17Cazalegas26361714:49-3515
    18Sonseca26271718:54-3613

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