Talavera de la Reina vs Illescas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Talavera de la Reina - Illescas
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Cambra J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Moreno D. ,

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
55%
Draw
26.2%
Illescas
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 23.9% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 23% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talavera de la Reina's form might have worsened.
  • Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illescas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illescas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Talavera de la Reina - Illescas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.45)
    3.48
    (3.78)
    4.98
    (6.62)
    9.2%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Talavera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Illescas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Talavera is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Talavera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Illescas were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Illescas - Talavera de la Reina 0:1
    21.04.2024 Talavera de la Reina - Illescas 1:0
    10.12.2023 Illescas - Talavera de la Reina 1:0
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Illescas
    29.03.2025 Illescas - CD Guadalajara 1:2
    23.03.2025 Melilla - Illescas 1:0
    16.03.2025 Illescas - Atlético Paso 2:1
    02.03.2025 Illescas - Móstoles URJC 0:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2