Illescas vs Unión Adarve – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Illescas - Unión Adarve
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Jimenez A. (Pen),
  • 11', 1 - 1, Sardinero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 2 - 1, Lopez D. ,

Chances of winning


Illescas
26.2%
Draw
26.6%
Unión Adarve
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29.9% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 30% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illescas's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Adarve's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Adarve, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Illescas - Unión Adarve Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (2.81)
    3.44
    (3.04)
    1.95
    (2.41)
    9.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Illescas is Relegated to
    • Illescas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Illescas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Unión Adarve will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Unión Adarve were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Unión Adarve - Illescas 0:0
    24.03.2024 Unión Adarve - Illescas 2:0
    11.11.2023 Illescas - Unión Adarve 2:1
    Latest results of Illescas
    12.04.2025 Illescas - Cacereño 1:1
    29.03.2025 Illescas - CD Guadalajara 1:2
    23.03.2025 Melilla - Illescas 1:0
    Latest results of Unión Adarve
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2