Result
4:5 OT
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SM-sarja U20 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 03:21, 1 - 0, Pulli T. (G), Fagerstrom V. (A), Toivonen V. (A2)
- 06:54, 2 - 0, Pulli T. (G), Fagerstrom V. (A), Laamanen E. (A2)
- 10:44, 2 - 1, Kos O. (G), Melanen J. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
- 11:34, 2 - 2, Myllyniemi M. (G), Tukio O. (A), Seppanen N. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 03:32, 3 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Ketonen A. (A), Viitaluoma V. (A2)
- 05:09, 3 - 3, Heikkinen I. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A), Savolainen N. (A2)
- 10:58, 3 - 4, Melanen J. (G), Laitinen J. (A), Kos O. (A2)
- 17:57, 4 - 4, Kostjukovs K. (G), Lappalainen M. (A), Viitaluoma V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:29, 4 - 5, Kos O. (G), Niskanen A. (A), Teuho-Markkola T. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK U20
24.3% | Draw
19.2% | Ilves U20
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPK U20's form might have worsened.Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves U20's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HPK U20 - Ilves U20 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(2.98) |
4.71 ↑
(4.54) |
1.6 ↓
(1.88) |
10.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
Preview Facts
- Ilves Tampere leads series 1-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 2.
- HPK U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ilves U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves U20 might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:66. (average 3.2:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 2.9:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK U20 won against Ilves U20?
HPK U20 has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves U20 won against HPK U20?
Ilves U20 has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK U20 - Ilves U20 were as follows:
26.03.2026
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
10:2
10.10.2025
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
5:1
27.09.2025
HPK U20
-
Ilves U20
3:2
21.08.2025
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
1:2
07.03.2025
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
6:4
Latest results of HPK U20
Latest results of Ilves U20
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Jukurit U20 (7) | Karpat U20 (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pelicans Lahti U20 (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | TPS U20 (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jyvaskyla U20 (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | KalPa U20 (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Assat U20 (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Tappara U20 (6) | IFK Helsinki U20 (11) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Karpat U20 (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Pelicans Lahti U20 (2) | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Jyvaskyla U20 (4) | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Assat U20 (3) | Tappara U20 (6) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | Tappara U20 (6) | 1 : 1 |
