Result
3:2 OT
30/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SM-sarja U20 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 03:05, 0 - 1, Toivonen V. (G), Pulli T. (A), Nummela T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 09:03, 0 - 2, Makinen I. (G), Viitaluoma V. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 10:15, 1 - 2, Frolo J. (G), Karjalainen P. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19:02, 2 - 2, Teuho-Markkola T. (G), Kuitunen O. (A), Heikkinen I. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 16:57, 3 - 2, Heikkinen I. (G), Kuitunen O. (A), Laitinen J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves U20
55.9% | Draw
19.6% | HPK U20
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves U20 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Ilves U20 - HPK U20 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.73) |
4.61 ↑
(4.43) |
3.7 ↑
(3.55) |
10.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- Ilves Tampere leads series 2-0. Third leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 3.
- Ilves U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- HPK U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ilves U20 is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ilves U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 68:65. (average 3.4:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:38. (average 4:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves U20 won against HPK U20?
Ilves U20 has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK U20 won against Ilves U20?
HPK U20 has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves U20 - HPK U20 were as follows:
28.03.2026
HPK U20
-
Ilves U20
4:5
26.03.2026
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
10:2
10.10.2025
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
5:1
27.09.2025
HPK U20
-
Ilves U20
3:2
21.08.2025
Ilves U20
-
HPK U20
1:2
Latest results of Ilves U20
Latest results of HPK U20
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Jukurit U20 (7) | Karpat U20 (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pelicans Lahti U20 (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | TPS U20 (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jyvaskyla U20 (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | KalPa U20 (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Assat U20 (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Tappara U20 (6) | IFK Helsinki U20 (11) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Karpat U20 (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Pelicans Lahti U20 (2) | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Jyvaskyla U20 (4) | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Assat U20 (3) | Tappara U20 (6) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | Tappara U20 (6) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ilves U20 (1) | Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5) | 1 : 3 |
3rd place| 2 | Tappara U20 (6) | Hameenlinna U20 (8) | 0 : 1 |
