Result
4:4 penalties
31/07/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | ORF 1, ORF TVthek |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 146 | 158 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 109 | 94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', Guenouche H. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
- 22', 1 - 0, Malone M. ⚽, Perez Vinlof M. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Gruber A. ⚽, Malone M. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Ala-Myllymaki L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 58', Ranftl R. 🟨,
- 61', Potzmann M. ↓, Pazourek L. ↑,
- 61', Malone M. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Barry A. ⚽, Gruber A. (A),
- 78', Jorginho ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 78', Jukkola O. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
- 80', Martins M. ↓, Meisl M. ↑,
- 80', Gruber A. ↓, Huskovic M. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Maenpaa A. ⚽,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 93', Huskovic M. 🟨,
- 95', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
- 97', 4 - 2, Prelec N. ⚽,
- 100', Arifi D. 🟨,
- 100', Fitz D. 🟨,
- 102', Popovitch A. 🟨,
- 106', Maenpaa A. ↓, Akpudje J. ↑,
- 107', Ulundu V. 🟨,
- 112', 4 - 3, Soderback M. ⚽, Haarala S. (A),
- 116', Ranftl R. ↓, Plavotic T. ↑,
- 120+1', Seppa V. ↓, Virtanen O. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Arifi D. (Pen),
- 1, Fischer M. (Pen),
- 2, Popovitch A. (Pen),
- 2, Lucas Galvao (Pen),
- 3, Haarala S. (Pen),
- 3, Perez Vinlof M. (Pen),
- 4, Pikkarainen J. (Pen),
- 4, Meisl M. (Pen),
- 5, Riski Ro. (Pen),
- 5, Fitz D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Austria Wien
69.1% | Draw
17.7% | Ilves
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Wien that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Austria Wien - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.41) |
5.23 ↑
(4.83) |
7.13 ↑
(6.03) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 58% – 94.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
- Recent matches Austria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ilves is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Austria is absolute favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Austria Wien won against Ilves?
Austria Wien has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Austria Wien?
Ilves has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Ilves were as follows:
25.07.2024
Ilves
-
Austria Wien
2:1
Latest results of Austria Wien
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
