Result
5:0
31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Finland | Ilves TV |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 6.48 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (490/569) | 83% (367/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 6.48 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.26 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 62 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (490/569) | 83% (367/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (169/216) | 75% (80/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.80 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 5.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 11', Parrott T. 🟨,
- 17', Mijnans S. 🟨,
- 17', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 26', 2 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
- 36', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
- 42', 4 - 0, Kasius D. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
- 45', Daal R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Raymond A. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 58', Clasie J. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
- 58', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 58', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 61', Rale M. 🟨,
- 67', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 69', Veteli J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 69', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 74', 5 - 0, de Wit M. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
- 75', Smit K. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
- 79', Maenpaa A. ↓, Kumpu V. ↑,
- 80', Vaisanen S. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
84.9% | Draw
9.6% | Ilves
5.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
AZ Alkmaar - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.11 ↓
(1.16) |
9.64 ↑
(6.2) |
17.09 ↑
(11) |
6.6%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 51.5% – 92.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Ilves (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ilves (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.
- AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
- In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ilves?
AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against AZ Alkmaar?
Ilves has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ilves were as follows:
24.07.2025
Ilves
-
AZ Alkmaar
4:3
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
