AZ Alkmaar vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar).

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Finland	Ilves TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
6.48	0.40
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
28	7
Shots on target
16	2
Big Chances
12	2
Corner Kicks
9	1
Passes
86% (490/569)	83% (367/442)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
6.48	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.26	0.49
Total shots
28	7
Shots on target
16	2
Shots off target
8	0
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
23	5
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
12	2
Corner Kicks
9	1
Touches in opposition box
62	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
9	15
Passes
86% (490/569)	83% (367/442)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
78% (169/216)	75% (80/106)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.80	0.52
Throw-ins
15	13
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
63% (15/24)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
54	37
Clearances
14	28
Interceptions
5	17
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	11
xGOT faced
0.49	5.26
Goals prevented
0.49	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
11', Parrott T. 🟨,
17', Mijnans S. 🟨,
17', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
42', 4 - 0, Kasius D. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
45', Daal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Raymond A. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
58', Clasie J. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
58', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
58', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
61', Rale M. 🟨,
67', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
69', Veteli J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
69', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, de Wit M. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
75', Smit K. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
79', Maenpaa A. ↓, Kumpu V. ↑,
80', Vaisanen S. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,

Chances of winning

AZ Alkmaar
84.9%

Draw
9.6%

Ilves
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

14.5%

8.2%

AZ Alkmaar - Ilves Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.16)	9.64 ↑ (6.2)	17.09 ↑ (11)	6.6% (11.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ilves?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 51.5% – 92.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.
AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ilves?

AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against AZ Alkmaar?

Ilves has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ilves were as follows:

24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3

Latest results of AZ Alkmaar

26.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:2 ✺

24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3 ✺

19.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Lokomotiva Zagreb 2:1 ✺

12.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2 ✺

09.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Aris 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Ilves

24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3 ✺

20.07.2025 FF Jaro - Ilves 0:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0 ✺

14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2 ✺

10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11:5	6	16
2	Rakow	6	4	2	0	9:2	7	14
3	AEK Athens	6	4	1	1	14:7	7	13
4	Sparta Prague	6	4	1	1	10:3	7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13:7	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
7	Mainz	6	4	1	1	7:3	4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7:1	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11:6	5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12:8	4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8:5	3	9
16	Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5:2	3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5:4	1	9
18	Omonia	6	2	2	2	5:4	1	8
19	Noah	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4:8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6:5	1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8:10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
25	Univ. Craiova	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	2	1	3	7:15	-8	7
27	Dyn. Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9:9	0	6
28	Legia	6	2	0	4	8:8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7:13	-6	4
32	Hacken	6	0	3	3	5:8	-3	3
33	Hamrun	6	1	0	5	4:11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0:7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3:14	-11	2
36	SK Rapid	6	0	1	5	3:14	-11	1

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)