AZ Alkmaar vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar).

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Finland	Ilves TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
6.48	0.40
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
28	7
Shots on target
16	2
Big Chances
12	2
Corner Kicks
9	1
Passes
86% (490/569)	83% (367/442)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
6.48	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.26	0.49
Total shots
28	7
Shots on target
16	2
Shots off target
8	0
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
23	5
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
12	2
Corner Kicks
9	1
Touches in opposition box
62	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
9	15
Passes
86% (490/569)	83% (367/442)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
78% (169/216)	75% (80/106)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.80	0.52
Throw-ins
15	13
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
63% (15/24)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
54	37
Clearances
14	28
Interceptions
5	17
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	11
xGOT faced
0.49	5.26
Goals prevented
0.49	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
11', Parrott T. 🟨,
17', Mijnans S. 🟨,
17', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
42', 4 - 0, Kasius D. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
45', Daal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Raymond A. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
58', Clasie J. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
58', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
58', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
61', Rale M. 🟨,
67', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
69', Veteli J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
69', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, de Wit M. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
75', Smit K. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
79', Maenpaa A. ↓, Kumpu V. ↑,
80', Vaisanen S. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,

Chances of winning

AZ Alkmaar
84.9%

Draw
9.6%

Ilves
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

14.5%

8.2%

AZ Alkmaar - Ilves Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.16)	9.64 ↑ (6.2)	17.09 ↑ (11)	6.6% (11.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ilves?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 51.5% – 92.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.
AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Ilves?

AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against AZ Alkmaar?

Ilves has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ilves were as follows:

24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3

Latest results of AZ Alkmaar

26.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:2 ✺

24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3 ✺

19.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Lokomotiva Zagreb 2:1 ✺

12.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2 ✺

09.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Aris 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Ilves

24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3 ✺

20.07.2025 FF Jaro - Ilves 0:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0 ✺

14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2 ✺

10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Samsunspor	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
2	Strasbourg	4	3	1	0	7:4	3	10
3	Celje	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9
4	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	3	0	1	8:5	3	9
5	Mainz	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9
6	Rakow	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
7	AEK Larnaca	4	2	2	0	5:0	5	8
8	Drita	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
9	Jagiellonia	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
10	AEK Athens	4	2	1	1	9:4	5	7
11	Sparta Prague	4	2	1	1	5:2	3	7
12	Rayo Vallecano	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
13	Lausanne	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
14	Sigma Olomouc	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7
15	Univ. Craiova	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7
16	Lech Poznan	4	2	0	2	9:6	3	6
17	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	6:3	3	6
18	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6
19	Zrinjski	4	2	0	2	7:8	-1	6
20	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	4:7	-3	6
21	Omonia	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
22	KuPS	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
23	Noah	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
24	Rijeka	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
25	Shkendija	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
26	Lincoln Red Imps	4	1	1	2	4:10	-6	4
27	Dyn. Kyiv	4	1	0	3	6:7	-1	3
28	Legia	4	1	0	3	3:5	-2	3
29	Slovan Bratislava	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
30	Hamrun	4	1	0	3	3:6	-3	3
31	Hacken	4	0	2	2	4:6	-2	2
32	Breidablik	4	0	2	2	2:7	-5	2
33	Aberdeen	4	0	2	2	3:10	-7	2
34	Shelbourne	4	0	1	3	0:4	-4	1
35	Shamrock Rovers	4	0	1	3	3:9	-6	1
36	SK Rapid	4	0	0	4	2:12	-10	0

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)