Result
3:2 OT
31/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.88 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.04% (3/23) | 5.71% (2/35) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.29% (33/35) | 86.96% (20/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 63.64 | 36.36 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 07:37, 1 - 0, Juusola V. (G), Turunen T. (A), Nikupeteri O. (A2)
- 12:01, Korpimaki M. (2 min),
- 17:10, 2 - 0, Tardif B. (G), Korpimaki M. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 08:43, Vaisanen K. (2 min),
- 18:47, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 03:40, Nikupeteri O. (2 min),
- 07:17, Kovarcik M. (Penalty Shot),
- 09:00, 2 - 1, Rautanen J. (G), Klingberg C. (A), Borg E. (A2)
- 12:39, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 13:13, 2 - 2, Suomi E. (G), Klingberg C. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 03:34, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 03:52, 3 - 2, Gardiner R. (G), Bjork M. (A), Turunen T. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
32.5% | Draw
23.2% | Ilves
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3%)
Kärpät - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.6) |
4.07 ↑
(3.86) |
2.13 ↓
(2.39) |
6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 2.
- Recent matches Kärpät is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ilves is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Kärpät could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ilves will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 43:56 (average 2.2:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:28 (average 2.4:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ilves?
Kärpät has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Kärpät?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Ilves were as follows:
08.01.2025
Ilves
-
Kärpät
3:4
07.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Ilves
2:4
11.10.2024
Ilves
-
Kärpät
4:3
03.02.2024
Kärpät
-
Ilves
1:4
02.02.2024
Ilves
-
Kärpät
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
