Result
2:1
30/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Benalcazar C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 1, Caiza J. ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente Juniors
42.7% | Draw
29% | Imbabura
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Juniors's form might have worsened.Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imbabura's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+19.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Imbabura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Juniors - Imbabura Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.53) |
3.28 ↓
(3.8) |
3.36 ↓
(5.2) |
5.1%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - Imbabura?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Imbabura will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente Jr: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente Jr (votes: 1 - 50%). Imbabura (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.
- Independiente Jr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Imbabura is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Independiente Jr is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Independiente Jr will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Imbabura?
Independiente Juniors has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Imbabura won against Independiente Juniors?
Imbabura has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - Imbabura were as follows:
21.05.2025
Imbabura
-
Independiente Juniors
4:0
26.09.2023
Imbabura
-
Independiente Juniors
0:3
10.08.2023
Independiente Juniors
-
Imbabura
0:0
02.07.2023
Imbabura
-
Independiente Juniors
0:0
22.03.2023
Independiente Juniors
-
Imbabura
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Latest results of Imbabura
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte ✔ | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Gualaceo ✔ | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 27:25 | 2 | 34 |
| 3 | Guayaquil City ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:16 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 33 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | Ind. Juniors | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 26 |
| 8 | Atletico Vinotinto | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32:26 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | 22 de Julio | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Vargas Torres ✔ | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 24 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 15 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17:42 | -25 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
