Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Germany | Laola1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 Switzerland | LAOLA1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Yago Cariello ⚽, Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
- 34', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
- 34', Oh H. ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lee H. ↓, Michel B. ↑,
- 60', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Gerso ↑,
- 62', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Trojak M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Seo Jae-Min ⚽,
- 78', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,
- 78', Choi Seok-Hyun ↓, Sim Sang-Min ↑,
- 82', Michel B. 🟨,
- 83', Yago Cariello ↓, Marcao ↑,
- 86', Kim Myung-soon ↓, Yeo Seung-Won ↑,
- 90+2', Trojak M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Marcao ⚽, Lee Gyu-Seong (A),
- 90+8', Mugosa S. 🟨,
- 90+10', Marcao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Incheon United
34.2% | Draw
29.1% | Ulsan HD
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Incheon United - Ulsan HD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.5) |
3.17 ↑
(3.14) |
2.53 ↓
(2.84) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Incheon United - Ulsan HD?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Ulsan (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 0.
- Incheon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ulsan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Incheon United won against Ulsan HD?
Incheon United has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Incheon United?
Ulsan HD has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Incheon United - Ulsan HD were as follows:
14.05.2025
Ulsan HD
-
Incheon United
3:0
22.09.2024
Incheon United
-
Ulsan HD
0:0
17.07.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Incheon United
1:0
29.05.2024
Incheon United
-
Ulsan HD
1:1
17.03.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Incheon United
3:3
Latest results of Incheon United
Latest results of Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Daejeon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pohang | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Anyang | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Incheon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | -21 | 6 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
