Result
 
                    2:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        16/08/2025 at  14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Schlotthauer M. ⚽, 
- 12', 1 - 1, Rossi J. ⚽, 
- 19',  🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Avaro E. ⚽, 
- 57', Mast T. ↓, Benitez E. ↑, 
- 63', 2 - 2, Schlotthauer M. ⚽, 
- 65', Attis T. ↓, Brylko H. ↑, 
- 74', Ciancio V. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑, 
- 74', Veron L. ↓, Giaccone F. ↑, 
- 84', 2 - 3, Rossi J. ⚽, 
- 85',  🟨, 
- 85', Rossi J. ↓, Franceschi E. ↑, 
- 85', Hang F. ↓, Coceres G. ↑, 
- 85', Gimenez J. ↓, Franco D. ↑, 
- 90+4',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Independiente Chivilcoy 45.5%
 | Draw 31.2%
 | Sportivo Belgrano 23.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.08 ↓ (2.12)
 | 3.04 ↓ (3.15)
 | 4.09 ↑ (3.1)
 | 5.4% (11.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 0.
- Ind Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sportivo Belgrano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ind Chivilcoy might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Chivilcoy won against Sportivo Belgrano?
                    
                    
                        
                            Independiente Chivilcoy has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Belgrano won against Independiente Chivilcoy?
                    
                    
                        
                             Sportivo Belgrano has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.07.2025 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                - 
                                Independiente Chivilcoy 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.05.2025 
                                Independiente Chivilcoy 
                                - 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.06.2024 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                - 
                                Independiente Chivilcoy 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Independiente Chivilcoy 
                                - 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.09.2023 
                                Sportivo Belgrano 
                                - 
                                Independiente Chivilcoy 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Independiente Chivilcoy                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sportivo Belgrano                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Cipolletti (12) | Kimberley (13) | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 | 
| 2 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1) | Juventud U.U. (24) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 | 
| 3 | Villa Mitre (10) | Guillermo Brown (15) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 | 
| 4 | Bye | Sportivo Belgrano (1) |  | 
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela (7) | Germinal (18) | 5 : 0, 1 : 1 | 
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon (4) | Sportivo Las Parejas (21) | 5 : 0, 0 : 2 | 
| 7 | Biblioteca Atenas (6) | Sarmiento Resistencia (19) | 4 : 0, 1 : 0 | 
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda (5) | San Martin Mendoza (20) | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 | 
| 9 | Independiente Chivilcoy (11) | Douglas Haig (14) | 1 : 0, 2 : 4 | 
| 10 | Argentino MM (2) | Bye |  | 
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana (9) | Boca Unidos (16) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 | 
| 12 | Chivilcoy (2) | El Linqueno (23) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 | 
| 13 | Costa Brava (8) | Bartolome Mitre (17) | 0 : 0, 1 : 1 | 
| 14 | San Martin Formosa (3) | Sol de Mayo (22) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 | 
1/8-finals| 1 | Kimberley (12) | Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3) | 1 : 1 | 
| 2 | Guillermo Brown (14) | Sportivo Belgrano (1) | 2 : 0 | 
| 3 | 9 de Julio Rafaela (9) | Deportivo Rincon (6) | 2 : 1 | 
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas (8) | Sarmiento de La Banda (7) | 1 : 0 | 
| 5 | Douglas Haig (13) | Argentino MM (2) | 2 : 0 | 
| 6 | Juventud Antoniana (11) | Chivilcoy (4) | 0 : 0 | 
| 7 | Costa Brava (10) | San Martin Formosa (5) | 1 : 1 |