Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 30
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (568/625) | 68% (130/191) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (568/625) | 68% (130/191) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (168/204) | 52% (28/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 61', Mercado P. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 62', Carabajal M. 🟨,
- 68', Mendoza E. ↓, Perez Tica J. ↑,
- 74', Leon J. ↓, Tenorio L. ↑,
- 76', Cortez G. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 85', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 90', Parrales J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
71.2% | Draw
17.3% | Delfín
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Independiente del Valle - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32
(1.32) |
5.31 ↑
(4.91) |
8.21 ↓
(9.07) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1, 1st Half - Ind del Valle (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
- Ind del Valle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Delfín's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Delfín?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Independiente del Valle?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Delfín were as follows:
31.05.2025
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
03.08.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
1:2
01.03.2024
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
01.09.2023
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
08.04.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
3:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
