Delfín vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 15
Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	0.69
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
8	6
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (359/451)	84% (385/458)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.89	0.92
Total shots
8	6
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
22	10
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
80% (359/451)	84% (385/458)
Long passes
45% (22/49)	52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
58% (72/125)	57% (46/81)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.65	0.80
Throw-ins
19	13
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
62% (13/21)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
53	50
Clearances
18	28
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.92	0.89
Goals prevented
0.92	-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Cuero Q. C. A. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Gallardo N. (Own goal),
45+2', Caicedo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Estacio J. 🟨,
57', Pata E. 🟨,
65', Mercado P. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
65', Pata E. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Burdisso M. ⚽, Gallardo N. (A),
72', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
72', Ibarra R. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
82', Cuello B. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
87', Levato M. ↓, Tenorio L. ↑,
90', Tenorio L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Delfín
26.2%

Draw
28.9%

Independiente del Valle
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Delfín - Independiente del Valle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.03)	3.22 ↓ (3.49)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)	7.9% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Delfín - Independiente del Valle?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Independiente del Valle will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Independiente del Valle?

Delfín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Delfín?

Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Independiente del Valle were as follows:

03.08.2024 Independiente del Valle - Delfín 1:2

01.03.2024 Delfín - Independiente del Valle 0:1

01.09.2023 Delfín - Independiente del Valle 1:0

08.04.2023 Independiente del Valle - Delfín 3:0

11.09.2022 Independiente del Valle - Delfín 2:0

Latest results of Delfín

25.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Delfín 1:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Delfín 0:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Delfín - Orense 0:0 ✺

25.04.2025 El Nacional - Delfín 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1 ✺

23.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle 1:3 ✺

15.05.2025 River Plate - Independiente del Valle 6:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	27	11	9	7	40:34	6	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )