Result
1:1
31/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 15
- Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (359/451) | 84% (385/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (359/451) | 84% (385/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (72/125) | 57% (46/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Cuero Q. C. A. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Gallardo N. (Own goal),
- 45+2', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Estacio J. 🟨,
- 57', Pata E. 🟨,
- 65', Mercado P. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 65', Pata E. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Burdisso M. ⚽, Gallardo N. (A),
- 72', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 72', Ibarra R. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 82', Cuello B. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
- 87', Levato M. ↓, Tenorio L. ↑,
- 90', Tenorio L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Delfín
26.2% | Draw
28.9% | Independiente del Valle
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(4.03) |
3.22 ↓
(3.49) |
2.06 ↑
(1.85) |
7.9%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Delfín - Independiente del Valle?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Independiente del Valle?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Delfín?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
03.08.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
1:2
01.03.2024
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
01.09.2023
Delfín
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
08.04.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
3:0
11.09.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Delfín
2:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
