Result
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
66.6% | Draw
21.2% | El Nacional
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Independiente del Valle - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.33) |
4.39 ↓
(4.93) |
7.64 ↓
(7.93) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
- Ind del Valle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- El Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against El Nacional?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Independiente del Valle?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - El Nacional were as follows:
14.04.2025
El Nacional
-
Independiente del Valle
1:3
27.11.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
El Nacional
0:1
03.11.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
El Nacional
2:0
12.05.2024
El Nacional
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
02.12.2023
El Nacional
-
Independiente del Valle
2:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 42:19 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
