Result
2:3
12/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 8
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (233/286) | 84% (326/388) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (233/286) | 84% (326/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (36/61) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (44/69) | 72% (92/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | -1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Guagua D. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Ordonez J. ⚽,
- 35', Garcia B. 🟨,
- 38', Espinoza J. 🟨,
- 45+6', Reasco D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 55', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Rivero G. ⚽, Morocho S. (A),
- 60', Espinoza J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 60', Briones R. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
- 62', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 63', Ibarra R. ↓, Postel S. ↑,
- 68', Guagua D. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Perello M. (A),
- 71', Piedra M. ↓, Boolsen P. ↑,
- 71', Rivero G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 71', Ordonez J. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Sornoza J. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 3, Angulo J. ⚽, Perello M. (A),
- 78', Garcia B. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 87', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Klimowicz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
30.3% | Draw
29.7% | Independiente del Valle
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.25) |
3.11 ↓
(3.19) |
2.32 ↑
(2.22) |
8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Ind del Valle (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente del Valle has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
27.07.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
0:3
05.04.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
4:0
31.01.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
25.10.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
05.05.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Aucas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Tecnico U | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Delfin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Macara | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Libertad | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | LDU Quito | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Orense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Emelec | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
