River Plate vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores River Plate - Independiente del Valle
Result
6:2
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.70
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
90% (498/552)80% (237/298)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.111.01
Total shots
218
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
337
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
90% (498/552)80% (237/298)
Long passes
68% (27/40)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
80% (121/151)61% (35/57)
Crosses
33% (6/18)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.46
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1510
Tackles
50% (6/12)47% (8/17)
Duels won
3744
Clearances
818
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.013.11
Goals prevented
-0.99-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ⚽, Martinez Quarta L. (A),
  • 11', 1 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Spinelli C. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Loor L. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 2, Zarate L. (Own goal),
  • 40', Mercado P. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Carabajal M. 🟥,
  • 45+5', 3 - 2, Mastantuono F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
  • 46', Mercado P. ↓, Schunke R. ↑,
  • 46', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Perez E. ↑,
  • 51', 4 - 2, Meza M. ⚽, Bustos F. (A),
  • 55', Hoyos M. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
  • 61', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 61', Mastantuono F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
  • 62', Spinelli C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
  • 62', Cazares ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
  • 74', Mendez J. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
  • 78', Colidio F. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
  • 86', Loor L. 🟨,
  • 88', 5 - 2, Miguel Borja ⚽, Castano K. (A),
  • 90+4', 6 - 2, Lanzini M. ⚽, Meza M. (A),

Chances of winning


River Plate
74.1%		Draw
18.3%		Independiente del Valle
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.2% 22.2% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3% 20.9% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    River Plate - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.28 ↓
    (1.4)    		 5.18 ↑
    (4.25)    		 12.27 ↑
    (8.88)    		 5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for River Plate - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 71.4% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • River Plate is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ind del Valle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, River Plate is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Martinez P. (Hamstring Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ind del Valle: Arroyo J. P. (Inactive) Paez K. (Inactive) Velasco A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Montiel G. (Injury)
    • We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - River Plate 2:2
    Latest results of River Plate
    12.05.2025 River Plate - Barracas Central 3:0 ✺
    08.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - River Plate 2:3 ✺
    04.05.2025 River Plate - Vélez Sársfield 4:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - River Plate 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    11.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺
    08.05.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle 1:1
    04.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Emelec 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2
    23.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - River Plate 2:2 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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