Result
6:2
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (498/552) | 80% (237/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (498/552) | 80% (237/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (27/40) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (121/151) | 61% (35/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ⚽, Martinez Quarta L. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Spinelli C. (A),
- 21', 1 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Loor L. (A),
- 25', 2 - 2, Zarate L. (Own goal),
- 40', Mercado P. 🟨,
- 45+4', Carabajal M. 🟥,
- 45+5', 3 - 2, Mastantuono F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 46', Mercado P. ↓, Schunke R. ↑,
- 46', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 51', 4 - 2, Meza M. ⚽, Bustos F. (A),
- 55', Hoyos M. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 61', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 61', Mastantuono F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 62', Spinelli C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 62', Cazares ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
- 74', Mendez J. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 78', Colidio F. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
- 86', Loor L. 🟨,
- 88', 5 - 2, Miguel Borja ⚽, Castano K. (A),
- 90+4', 6 - 2, Lanzini M. ⚽, Meza M. (A),
Chances of winning
River Plate
74.1% | Draw
18.3% | Independiente del Valle
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
River Plate - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.4) |
5.18 ↑
(4.25) |
12.27 ↑
(8.88) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for River Plate - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Ind del Valle (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 4 - 80%). Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- River Plate is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Ind del Valle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, River Plate is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S.
(Injury)
Martinez P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ind del Valle: Arroyo J. P.
(Inactive)
Paez K.
(Inactive)
Velasco A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in River Plate: Montiel G.
(Injury)
- We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Independiente del Valle?
River Plate has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against River Plate?
Independiente del Valle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
23.04.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
River Plate
2:2
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
