Universitario de Deportes vs Independiente del Valle

08/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Monumental (Lima).

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
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Australia	beIN Sports 2
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Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
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Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	1.38
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
76% (257/337)	82% (393/477)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.90	1.22
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
34	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
5	16
Passes
76% (257/337)	82% (393/477)
Long passes
47% (25/53)	35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)	72% (60/83)
Crosses
25% (7/28)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	0.61
Throw-ins
13	20
Fouls
16	5
Tackles
56% (9/16)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
44	64
Clearances
15	39
Interceptions
17	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.22	1.90
Goals prevented
0.22	0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Carabali J. ⚽,
43', Mercado P. 🟨,
45+1', Costa G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ibarra R. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
49', Concha J. 🟨,
64', Concha J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
64', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
71', Carabali J. 🟨,
72', Inga C. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
72', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
74', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
74', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
79', Urena R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
88', Mercado P. ↓, Zabala C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Universitario de Deportes
44.6%

Draw
30%

Independiente del Valle
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

31.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 (3.12)	3.71 ↑ (3.59)	6.1% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury) Perez M. (Injury)
There will not play in Ind del Valle: Paez K. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Independiente del Valle?

Universitario de Deportes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Universitario de Deportes?

Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle were as follows:

08.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes 1:0

Latest results of Universitario de Deportes

03.05.2025 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca 6:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universitario de Deportes 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes 1:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

04.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Emelec 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - River Plate 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Manta 2:0 ✺

14.04.2025 El Nacional - Independiente del Valle 1:3 ✺

Copa Libertadores Table

Group Stage

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	3	2	1	0	7:2	5	7
2	Estudiantes L.P	3	1	2	0	4:3	1	5
3	Ind. Medellin	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
4	Cusco	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportes Tolima	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4
2	Nacional	3	1	1	1	6:6	0	4
3	U. de Deportes	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
4	Coquimbo	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	La Guaira	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
3	Fluminense	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
4	Bolivar	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boca Juniors	3	2	0	1	5:2	3	6
2	U. Catolica	3	2	0	1	5:4	1	6
3	Cruzeiro	3	2	0	1	3:2	1	6
4	Barcelona SC	3	0	0	3	1:6	-5	0

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Corinthians	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Platense	3	2	0	1	4:4	0	6
3	Penarol	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
4	Santa Fe	3	0	1	2	2:5	-3	1

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	0	1	4:2	2	6
2	Palmeiras	3	1	2	0	4:3	1	5
3	Cerro Porteno	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
4	Junior	3	0	1	2	1:4	-3	1

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	LDU Quito	3	2	0	1	3:1	2	6
2	Lanus	3	2	0	1	2:1	1	6
3	Mirassol	3	2	0	1	3:2	1	6
4	Always Ready	3	0	0	3	0:4	-4	0

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rosario Central	3	2	1	0	4:0	4	7
2	Ind. del Valle	3	2	1	0	6:3	3	7
3	Universidad Central	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
4	Libertad Asuncion	3	0	0	3	3:7	-4	0

Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Universitario de Deportes vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV