Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:1
22/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAX Sport 4
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.16
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
88% (519/591)71% (165/231)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.47
Total shots
176
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
244
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
88% (519/591)71% (165/231)
Long passes
61% (20/33)19% (10/52)
Passes in final third
74% (139/187)62% (18/29)
Crosses
23% (9/39)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.08
Throw-ins
3115
Fouls
1217
Tackles
65% (13/20)50% (13/26)
Duels won
7056
Clearances
1459
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.471.65
Goals prevented
-0.530.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. , Mercado P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Victor Luis , Leandrinho ,
  • 57', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 59', David , Garre B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. , Joao Victor (A),
  • 69', Vegetti P. 🟨,
  • 70', Mercado P. , Mendez J. ,
  • 70', Briones R. , Pata E. ,
  • 72', Leandrinho 🟨,
  • 73', Rayan 🟨,
  • 75', Moreira N. , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 76', Jair , Sforza J. ,
  • 78', Ibarra R. , Santamaria T. ,
  • 87', Tche Tche , Guilherme Estrella ,
  • 88', Cortez G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
59.3%
Draw
24.1%
Independiente del Valle
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.6% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 30.2% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.82)
    3.87
    (3.39)
    5.6
    (4.45)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
    • Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ind del Valle is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    15.07.2025 Independiente del Valle - Vasco da Gama 4:0
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2