Result
1:1
22/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAX Sport 4 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (519/591) | 71% (165/231) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (519/591) | 71% (165/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 19% (10/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (139/187) | 62% (18/29) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/39) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 50% (13/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 59 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Victor Luis ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
- 57', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 59', David ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Joao Victor (A),
- 69', Vegetti P. 🟨,
- 70', Mercado P. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 70', Briones R. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 72', Leandrinho 🟨,
- 73', Rayan 🟨,
- 75', Moreira N. ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 76', Jair ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 78', Ibarra R. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
- 87', Tche Tche ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
- 88', Cortez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
59.3% | Draw
24.1% | Independiente del Valle
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.82) |
3.87 ↑
(3.39) |
5.6 ↑
(4.45) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
- Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ind del Valle is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Independiente del Valle?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Vasco da Gama?
Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
15.07.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Vasco da Gama
4:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
