Result
1:1
22/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAX Sport 4 |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV |
Malaysia | Mola |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Canal+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.86 | 0.16 |
Ball Possession |
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72% | 28% |
Total shots |
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17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Passes |
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88% (519/591) | 71% (165/231) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.86 | 0.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.65 | 0.47 |
Total shots |
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17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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17 | 12 |
Passes |
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88% (519/591) | 71% (165/231) |
Long passes |
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61% (20/33) | 19% (10/52) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (139/187) | 62% (18/29) |
Crosses |
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23% (9/39) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.69 | 0.08 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 15 |
Fouls |
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12 | 17 |
Tackles |
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65% (13/20) | 50% (13/26) |
Duels won |
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70 | 56 |
Clearances |
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14 | 59 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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0.47 | 1.65 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.53 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Victor Luis ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
- 57', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 59', David ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Joao Victor (A),
- 69', Vegetti P. 🟨,
- 70', Mercado P. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 70', Briones R. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 72', Leandrinho 🟨,
- 73', Rayan 🟨,
- 75', Moreira N. ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 76', Jair ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 78', Ibarra R. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
- 87', Tche Tche ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
- 88', Cortez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 59.3% | Draw 24.1% | Independiente del Valle 16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.82) |
3.87 ↑ (3.39) |
5.6 ↑ (4.45) |
6.8% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
- Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ind del Valle is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Independiente del Valle?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Vasco da Gama?
Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
15.07.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Vasco da Gama
4:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal