Result
1:3
05/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Renteria M. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 2, Klinger J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 3, Cagua M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cumbayá
47.5% | Draw
29.1% | Independiente Juniors
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.71) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
3.9 ↓
(4.8) |
9.6%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cumbayá: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- Cumbayá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Independiente Jr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente Jr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cumbayá is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Independiente Juniors?
Cumbayá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Cumbayá?
Independiente Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
25.03.2025
Independiente Juniors
-
Cumbayá
0:2
Latest results of Cumbayá
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Leones del Norte | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:21 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
