Result
2:1
16/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente Juniors
32.6% | Draw
30.5% | Gualaceo
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gualaceo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.6) |
3.07 ↑
(2.83) |
2.53 ↓
(2.91) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente Jr (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Gualaceo (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Independiente Jr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gualaceo has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Gualaceo?
Independiente Juniors has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against Independiente Juniors?
Gualaceo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo were as follows:
16.09.2025
Gualaceo
-
Independiente Juniors
1:0
24.07.2025
Gualaceo
-
Independiente Juniors
0:1
13.05.2025
Independiente Juniors
-
Gualaceo
1:1
16.10.2024
Gualaceo
-
Independiente Juniors
2:1
30.08.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Gualaceo
4:1
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Latest results of Gualaceo
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Vinotinto | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 47:31 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Vargas Torres | 31 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 3 | Cumbaya | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 39 |
| 4 | 22 de Julio | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 38 |
| 5 | Imbabura ✔ | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 |
| 6 | Chacaritas ✔ | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 30:57 | -27 | 24 |
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Imbabura is Relegated to
Chacaritas is Relegated to
