Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Serie B Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo
Result
2:1
16/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Independiente Juniors
32.6%
Draw
30.5%
Gualaceo
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 32.7% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 31.7% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gualaceo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.6)
    3.07
    (2.83)
    2.53
    (2.91)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente Jr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gualaceo (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Independiente Jr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Gualaceo has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo were as follows:
    16.09.2025 Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors 1:0
    24.07.2025 Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors 0:1
    13.05.2025 Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo 1:1
    16.10.2024 Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors 2:1
    30.08.2024 Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo 4:1
    Latest results of Independiente Juniors
    Latest results of Gualaceo
    Ecuadorian Serie B Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Vinotinto311191147:311642
    2Vargas Torres31816734:25940
    3Cumbaya301091127:34-739
    422 de Julio319111127:44-1738
    5Imbabura ✔ 306101432:41-928
    6Chacaritas ✔ 314121530:57-2724

          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Imbabura is Relegated to
    Chacaritas is Relegated to